The Bills D has lived on turnovers. Plus 24 and next closest is plus 16. Chiefs were plus 6 I believe? That’s a wild margin for the Bills to lead the whole league. Ravens never punted and if they simply take care of the ball they’re winning that game (same for Detroit). Have to imagine that Andy and Co. will be preaching ball security and that if you’re going for YAC, watch for the punch outs and get down if there isn’t much YAC there.
People have been critical of Mahomes and the passing offense this past weekend, but I think this team is understanding their matchups and playing on a higher level. Only way the Texans were winning that game was if there were turnovers by the Chiefs. How best for them to get turnovers? Their ends and their CB duo. So what did the Chiefs do? Heavily targeted TE, ran the ball. Didn’t really give the CBs or the ends a chance to wreck the game. Mahomes was taking the sack if it was risky. They knew the defense wouldn’t let up many points (which was true) and so just needed to not put them on short fields or give up points on offence. This was more important than running the score up by taking chances and opening the door to the turnovers.
Against Buffalo the risk assessment is different. They don’t have those ends or those corners and their offence is likely to have more success that the Texans, so I think we’ll see more aggressive offence because 1) we’re gonna need it and 2) we have the plus matchups to do it with less downside risk than was there against the Texans.
My one concern is that we overuse Pacheco instead of Kareem. Kareem’s vision as a runner is far superior. He rarely takes loses and usually gets more yards than he should. A 2nd and 10 with Pacheco is a 2nd and 7 with Hunt. 3rd and 7 with Pacheco is a 3rd and 3 with Hunt. That makes a big difference. I’d love to see 2 series Hunt, 1 for Pacheco type rotation. In the second half it’ll pay dividends and Pacheco can do what he does best which is to hit a big one.
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