Quote:
Originally Posted by ForeverIowan
Yeah the Bills were lucky that was not uglier than it was. On KenPom, for college hoops, they have a LUCK factor essentially meaning how lucky a team has been or how many fortunate breaks they have received. In that game:
1 ) Bills convert 3rd and 17 on the first drive as Josh Allen is running and throws it across the field to his back. They end up kicking a FG that drive in lieu of punting. +3 points.
2 ) Bills convert a 3rd and goal from 13 yard line. JA escapes the pocket left and is running out of time and Shakir makes a toe tap grab for a touchdown. Credit to Bills but a pretty unlikely play. +4 points touchdown in lieu of FG.
3.) Mecole Hardman fumbles at the 1 yard line for a safety. +7 points.
I dont know after watching that game I'm not so sure there were any plays or any drives where I thought the Chiefs were extremely fortunate or lucky. They had it rolling that night. If even one of the above plays go differently that game gets ugly.
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The odds of the same team getting 30 on Spags twice in a season can't be great.
Especially with our upgrades since then.
I think the Bills score 23, tops, Sunday.