Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
Nick Wright pointed this out, and he's not wrong -- SOMEONE is going to get left out.
There are maybe 10 years worth of Championships for the present crop of similarly situated QBs.
Allen, Burrow, Jackson, Herbert -- all out of the AFC and all with probably 10 years left in their window.
Let's say Mahomes makes only 3 more SBs over the next decade. That leaves 7 AFC championships for ALL of those guys combined. And presumes that nobody like Stroud or Drake Maye or Trevor Lawrence makes a leap.
At some point the math just won't work anymore. There aren't enough AFC championships to go around, to say NOTHING of the fact that they would STILL have to go to the SB and win that. And with some QB talent starting to show up in the NFC, even that's a less and less likely scenario for those guys going forward.
And that's based on a couple presumptions (that they have 10 years at/near prime AND Mahomes only goes to 3 of the next 10 SBs) that are pretty conservative based on recent trends and playstyles.
There IS a genuine zero sum problem for them. And yeah, it's becoming a scarcity problem as well.
They're running out of opportunities.
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And in the case of Allen and Jackson, 10 years is pushing it because at 28, in 5 years their running ability will likely drop off quickly. All those guys are gonna need strong team and coaching support at that point. The guys who've won mid 30s and later were no longer able to carry a team the way they can presently. And new young talent comes in every year.
That's why the sense of urgency. On both the Bengals and Bills boards it's always "the coaches and organization wasted another year of his prime". In reality Mahomes is wasting their prime .