Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
Nick Wright pointed this out, and he's not wrong -- SOMEONE is going to get left out.
There are maybe 10 years worth of Championships for the present crop of similarly situated QBs.
Allen, Burrow, Jackson, Herbert -- all out of the AFC and all with probably 10 years left in their window.
Let's say Mahomes makes only 3 more SBs over the next decade. That leaves 7 AFC championships for ALL of those guys combined. And presumes that nobody like Stroud or Drake Maye or Trevor Lawrence makes a leap.
At some point the math just won't work anymore. There aren't enough AFC championships to go around, to say NOTHING of the fact that they would STILL have to go to the SB and win that. And with some QB talent starting to show up in the NFC, even that's a less and less likely scenario for those guys going forward.
And that's based on a couple presumptions (that they have 10 years at/near prime AND Mahomes only goes to 3 of the next 10 SBs) that are pretty conservative based on recent trends and playstyles.
There IS a genuine zero sum problem for them. And yeah, it's becoming a scarcity problem as well.
They're running out of opportunities.
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It also fails to account for the fact that new QBs will be coming into the league every year and they will be in contention too.