Quote:
Originally Posted by kccrow
He was great in 2023. I went back and looked at stats just to make sure I wasn't thinking unclearly and he gave up 75% completion, had 9 PDs and 4 Ints to go with 135 tackles. That's about as good as it gets for a cover LB. He fell off this year in 2024, largely due to being dinged up.
Hell, Wilson's 2022 and 2023 encompasses all of what Gay has accomplished in 5 years and then some.
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Wouldn't a 75% completion rate with that many tackles (and PDs/INTs) indicate he was being targeted?
I'm seeing 62 receptions on 77 targets (80%) for 11.2 yards/rec and 4 TDs given up for a passer rating against over 100 in 2023.
Pretty similar numbers in 2022 w/ 66 receptions on 82 targets for 9.5 yards/reception and a 101.7 passer rating against (largely because he had fewer interceptions).
Meanwhile Bolton gave up 52 receptions on 67 targets this year (8.9/reception at 77% completion), 2 TDs and an INT for a passer rating against at 99.2. Really similar figures and we MURDER him for being bad in coverage.
For his career Wilson has given up an 80.9% catch rate (237 receptions on 293 targets) at 10 yards/reception (2,364 on 237 catches) and a total passer rating against at 95.7.
That's...okay. Bolton gets excoriated for years like that, though.
And I suspect different sources all have slightly different data given that it's really hard to know what a LB is ultimately responsible for an if it was 'his' catch surrendered. But when you see a Will 'backer with that many tackles, I don't typically think of that as a great sign and some of the numbers under the hood would support that.