Quote:
Originally Posted by Bl00dyBizkitz
That's fair. I guess the Colts did manage to get lucky those 2 times, and even squandered Luck. They deserve the football god's wrath for that. I just don't believe in tanking, and I don't think the data favors it, either. If you suck that bad to get to a top 5 pick, there's something very fundamentally wrong about your team that a top pick won't fix overnight.
And even if you are on the lower end of teams and decide to deliberately lose the last few games for a slightly higher pick. Cool, good for you, the odds still say it's a 50/50 chance you're drafting a starter, even if you are a few spots ahead of everyone else. It all just seems to even out in my head.
The only way I could possibly envision it working is Jimmy Johnson's insane method. Sucking for a whole season, trading off any valuable players you have for picks, trading down for even more picks, and then picking the exact right players to rebuild your team from scratch.
|
This. NFL teams almost never actually tank. A proper tank features trading for as much future draft capital as you possibly can. Trade anybody good and valuable. Acquire more future picks. Then when you suck and get a the 1 overall pick you trade it for even more future draft capital. Finally after a 3 seasons or so all the capital you have invested turns into developed on field talent and you start to win.