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Originally Posted by htismaqe
Think so?
I see Denver winning the division and Cinci finishing one game ahead of us. Jacksonville gets in.
We don't.
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I don't think both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh will make it to 11-5 or better. I don't have the tie-breakers memorized, but if one of them ends up in a 10-6 tie with the Chiefs, the Chiefs will have the better AFC record and the Chiefs will have won the head-to-head against Cinci.
There's also an outside chance that either Jacksonville or Denver will stumble unexpectedly. If Denver loses on Thanksgiving to Dallas and later to San Diego in San Diego, they'd only have to lose one other game besides the one to the Chiefs to hand the Chiefs the division title under your scenario. Admittedly, this is a longshot since Denver would have to lose to either Buffalo, Oakland, or Baltimore, but it's a small possibility on top of the Cinci/Pittsburg possibility I mentioned above.
Of course, it's not a sure thing that we'd get in at 10-6, but I think we would if the wins come from our remaining AFC games.