Denver Broncos (o/u 10.0)
Bill: Over, Ian: Under. Current Record: 7-4
Denver was cruising along, just like the teams of old, probably headed for another season of 10 wins. Then Mike Shanahan realized something the rest of us had noticed much earlier in the season — Jake Plummer has not been playing well. The team’s been winning, thanks to a stifling defense, and what is still the best home field advantage in football. They just haven’t been winning big, and the defense alone isn’t good enough to carry them to a Super Bowl. Enter Jay Cutler. Who knows where this is headed. This is what I said in the preview, though: “Mike Shanahan won’t hesitate to mess with things and throw Jay Cutler in there, and then Denver can kiss an 11-win season goodbye. I’m taking the Under.” Nothing’s changed to make me think otherwise.