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In my opinion, Herm was never the guy. I disagree with his base philosophy. It is not a matter of if we replace him but when.
I can think of two reasons to keep Herm on board for 1 more year.
1. If we fire him after two years, some good coaching candidates might get the idea that we don't have the patience to build. Giving Herm 3 years sends a message to the candidates that they will get 3 years. The perception of good support from the franchise is key to attractng the best candidates.
2. Another year of roster flushing and drafting will give the new guy a better base on which to build. Replacing the old guys (4OL, Kennison, Donnie Edwards, Surtain, and Law) is going to take some time. Let part of that replacement cycle happen under the lame duck, so that the new guy has a better chance of having a contender after 3 years.
On the other hand, there are several good reasons to make the change now.
1. He might Martyball himself to an 8-8 record or better next year by some miracle. I'd still want to replace him even if he made the playoffs. However, if he showed strong improvement it would be more difficult from a PR standpoint to replace him. Now you could easily justify it.
2. It would be better to have the new man's input in the draft and FA this season, so that person can get their style of players.
3. If Croyle is the QBOTF, it would be far, far better for him to develop under the new offensive-minded regime.
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