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Two things that I think have been unrealistic so far:
1. Glenn Dorsey will not go in the first four, I think. The knee is too much of a question mark for #2 money, and the only team in the top five that would give him a shot are the Chiefs. But I think it's possible that the Chiefs may have a pick of the two DTs at #5, and they'd be smart to pick Ellis. Leave Dorsey to the Bengals at #9. I don't think the Rams would choose the question mark of Dorsey (when they're fairly good at DT anyway) over the surefire exclamation point of Chris Long.
2. I'm doubting more and more that the Falcons want Ryan. I know that's the hot buzz around the NFL but I think he's more of a top 15 selection rather than a top 3. I think the Falcons have been married by the universe to this concept of "must take the #1 QB," simply assuming the #1 QB would be worth that high of a pick. If you're picking a QB that high, he needs to have it all, and Ryan's missing just enough elements to freak the Falcs -- I'm willing to bet they go Flacco or Woodson in the second.
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