Quote:
Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP
The percentages are a lot less for QBs outside of the top 5 and outside of round 1.
Going back to 1995 here are the QBs drafted by round. Calculate the percentage of finding a franchise QB.
|
Better players are more likely to be drafted higher. This is true at every single position, not just QB. But the success rate overall on QBs is low. The original post tossed around numbers like 70% for top 5 when that is not realistic in the modern NFL. It's less than 50% now. I'm not saying it's not worth it if you have real conviction about the guy - but you shouldn't fool yourself into thinking that because a guy has a big arm he'll be Peyton Manning. He probably won't.
I advocated for Matt Ryan last year because I thought he had the completely off-the-charts work ethic, intelligence, and leadership skills that truly make the great QBs what they are. At this point I don't see that in the top QB candidates, although I don't know enough about Stafford yet.