[kstater]

Originally Posted by AustinChief

Just as I am tired of hearing about "upside" and "potential" ..

I have no problem taking risks... but the odds are stacked HEAVILY against a junior QB succeeding... what makes either of these two any different?

With the amazing failure rate of junior QBs... I can't imagine it is just coincidence....



Take a look at a PARTIAL list.... (Big Ben had 38 starts so he is a bit of an exception) This is a list of guys that teams "gambled" on... Junior QBs are the SUCKER bet of the draft... If you still want to take that gamble.. I would advise staying away from Vegas, that town was built off bad math....

Ben Roethlisberger, Ryan Leaf, Tim Couch, Alex Smith, Rex Grossman, Todd Marinovich, Andre Ware, Tommy Maddox, Rick Mirer, Heath Shuler, Vince Young, Byron Leftwich, and Michael Vick ... Iguess you could squeeze Aaron Rodgers inthat list... but he was a JuCo transfer so I don't consider him the same as the "true" juniors...

I see your point, but I think we're going to stop seeing the great QB prospects staying 4 years. There's so much money nowadays that it's not worth a QB to go back. I think the list of successful junior QB's is going to start to grow.