Quote:
Originally Posted by Just Passin' By
No, I'm sorry, but you're now making a false assumption. A round 1 pick is not equal in value to a round 2 pick, etc..., and the rookie wage scale makes the equation even more harsh on first round misses. This does not mean that teams shouldn't draft first round picks, and it doesn't mean that teams should trade down for more and more 7th round picks. It does, however, mean that the penalty for mistakes is greater in the higher rounds, and it's greatest at the top of the first round.
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And any pick we make is going to be extremely expensive at #3. Long was around 30-32 last year at 1/1 and Ryan was around 36 at 1/3, in guaranteed money.
There's no false assumption. Any missed pick at the top of the draft is going to have serious financial ramifications.
And I'm not devaluing the importance of round 1 selection.
But you don't get into the Chiefs situations by missing only in round 1, where the organization's track record is comparable to many others. The problem is that the Chiefs have fallen off a ****ing cliff in rounds 2-3, and this is where you must get solid production and, occasionally, a star.