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Old 09-02-2009, 10:10 PM   #167
'Hamas' Jenkins 'Hamas' Jenkins is offline
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The other thing that people are completely overlooking are the economics of scale when it comes to investing in players.

If you take Parcells' theory that there are only so many men on the earth that are a given size with a given athleticism, which nearly every personnel guy does, then you also have to look at the number of teams that will want people of specific builds for their schemes.

With so many teams in the NFL moving to a 3-4, it made identifying and finding talent for the 3-4 precipitously more difficult than in years past. Whereas before you really only had to contend with New England, Pittsburgh, Dallas and to a lesser extent, Baltimore for 3-4 talent, now you also have to worry about:

Miami, Cleveland, San Diego, NYJ, Green Bay, Denver, and San Fran and Arizona run hybrids.

So, you have a huge increase in demand for a relatively fixed asset. That will make 3-4 players more expensive (particularly NTs) and more difficult to find.

Had you stayed in a 4-3, you would have had the same amount of talent, with far fewer suitors, particularly for your linebacking corps.

What the Chiefs, and many other teams have done this year is the exact opposite of Moneyball--they are chasing trends after they've been established rather than being ahead of the curve and getting players with certain skillsets that are undervalued by the demands of the market.
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