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Here's the Chiefs/Ravens take from that site
Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
Line: Ravens by 13. Total: 36.
Walt's Projected Line (Before Preseason): Ravens -11.
Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): Ravens -13.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
The Game. Edge: Ravens.
# KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: This is going to be fun. I have the Chiefs dead last in my 2009 NFL Power Rankings for many reasons - one of which is the quarterback position.
The Chiefs dealt away a second-round pick for Matt Cassel and gave him more than $60 million. I laughed throughout the course of this entire process. Cassel can do some good things - he can scramble and throw accurately in the short passing game - but he's a spread-shotgun system quarterback with no arm strength. Aside from his height, he's really no different than Tyler Thigpen.
Of course, Thigpen was able to lead the Chiefs on a covering spree toward the end of the 2008 season. But Thigpen had been with the Chiefs for a couple of years and largely was going against soft defenses. Baltimore will not allow any of this nonsense.
Cassel, who is only 50-50 to face the Ravens (as of Monday evening) won't stand much of a chance behind Kansas City's horrendous offensive line. Cassel took a lot of sacks in New England, so imagine what will happen this season. Cassel won't have the services of a solid running game either; Baltimore will put the clamps on that without much effort.
BALTIMORE OFFENSE: One of the reasons I love the Ravens so much this year is their underrated offense. Joe Flacco really looks like he's ready to take the next step and enter into the upper echelon of NFL quarterbacks. Ray Rice will be a dangerous weapon out of the backfield for Flacco. Derrick Mason, despite nearly retiring, appears as though he's poised for another big season.
Most importantly, the Ravens have one of the top offensive lines in the NFL. This matches up well against Kansas City's joke of a defensive front. Baltimore will easily push around rookie Tyson Jackson and 3-4 misfit Glenn Dorsey, opening up huge lanes for Rice and giving Flacco an eternity to throw the ball. The Chiefs mustered 10 sacks last year, so expecting them to even get one in this contest is pretty far-fetched.
RECAP: According to my 2009 NFL Power Rankings, this is a matchup between the No. 2 and the No. 32 teams. Unless Flacco and several members of the offensive line go down with injuries, I really can't envision this game being remotely close.
The Psychology. Edge: Chiefs.
The Ravens have the Chargers next week (LOOK-AHEAD ALERT). The Chiefs suck at life right now, so Baltimore may treat like this a fifth preseason game. Then again, this is the season opener...
The Vegas. Edge: Chiefs.
No one should be surprised that the betting is this lopsided.
# Percentage of money on Baltimore: 88% (38,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
# Chiefs are 11-5 ATS as a road underdog since 2007.
# Chiefs were 6-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog under Herm Edwards.
# Opening Line: Ravens -9.
# Opening Total: 37.5.
# Weather: Partly cloudy, 80 degrees. Light wind.
# For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.
Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 41, Chiefs 0
Ravens -13 (4 Units)
Over 36 (2 Units)
Survivor Pick (0-0)
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