Quote:
Originally Posted by JD10367
My point, echoed by the "NFL Live" crew on ESPN this afternoon, is that some lucky bounces early on masked some decifiencies on Denver's team. And now that the bloom is off the rose, and teams have slowed down the Denver offense, it's not a question of the Broncos falling back on solid fundamentals, saying, "Okay, if we just get back to doing this and this better, we'll get back to winning." It was a bit of smoke-and-mirrors. And now the Broncos have fallen back to earth, and are almost .500, which is just about where people pegged them. Whereas the Chargers, a team everyone said had some solid talent, were able to rise past some early losses.
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It's called regression to the mean, and it's exactly what everybody was calling for after the Broncos lucked out to a 6-0 start. Even if they finish 9-7, that means that they went 3-7 down the stretch. If they want to make the playoffs, they'd better sweep the Chiefs.