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The way I look at it is that if we lose in SD, we are only 1 game up on them. And we still have the Titans, which I consider tougher than that the Raiders on the road.
My software still says we have a 65% chance of winning the division, but that is based on a presumption that our median number of wins is 11. I think that is pretty optimistic.
10 wins would be a great season, but probably doesn't win the division.
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