Quote:
Originally Posted by DeezNutz
Who cares what Escobar was 12 months ago? All prospects are great and have tremendous upside until they're exposed. The most disconcerting thing is his defensive regression, with his horrendous OBP a close second.
We have no choice but to give it the benefit of the doubt, but, on paper, this is a terrible trade for Greinke.
Now we have to be hopeful.
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You don't completely discount a player's track record because of one BABIP-distorted rookie year. And I don't see the defensive regression you're talking about - his 4.7 UZR/150 was 7th best at the position this past year. It says a lot about his upside if that is considered a disappointment.
I think the value of premium shortstop defense with offensive upside is being underrated on here. Just a normalized BABIP would make a 2 WAR player last year, and he has 5+ WAR potential at the most valuable position in the sport.