Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox
At his peak, Pennington could not make all the throws due to lack of arm strength. That limits the amount of field that needs to be defended and makes the defenses job a lot easier. He wasn't going to take a team deep in the playoffs using his arm especially after the Raiders exposed him in the playoffs after the 2002 season. I called it then, and 2002 turned out to be the high water mark of his career.
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That doesn't make him a ZERO. A guy that never contributed at all is a ZERO.
Basically everybody on the bust list minus Stafford and Vick.
It seems to me this formula easily, and quite accurately, predicts failure.
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox
Culpepper is an interesting case. We don't really know how his career would have panned out if he had stayed healthy. A lot of people think whatever success Culpepper had was largely due to Randy Moss. So assigning a rating to his pro career is very difficult.
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Assigning a rating to anyone, as I explained earlier, is extremely difficult, if not impossible. It's too subjective.
But assigning them a binary value - "bust or no bust" - is actually pretty easy and this formula seems to accomplish it with repeatability.