Thread: NFL Draft Statistical Analysis: Projecting NFL QB Failure Using College Stats
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Old 02-27-2013, 10:58 AM   #38
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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This includes several QB busts in the high numbers so I don't like it.

I prefer the simpler rule of 26-27-60.

http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2013/2/1...erback-success

Quote:
The rule predicted that if a NFL prospect scored at least a 26 on the Wonderlic test, started at least 27 games in college, and completed at least 60 percent of his passes, he would succeed in the NFL, if he did not meet all three criteria, he would fail.

At the time of the article the rule was a fairly accurate at dividing successful NFL quarterbacks from disappointments. The rule predicted success for Peyton Manning, Philip Rivers, Eli Manning, Drew Brees, Tony Romo, Matt Schaub and Matt Ryan. Meanwhile it predicted failure for Ryan Leaf, Joey Harrington, Akili Smith, Tim Couch, David Carr, Vince Young and JaMarcus Russell.
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