Quote:
Originally Posted by Jakemall
In a game of inches. I don't have a hard time believing the margins are that small.
If every QB could throw 70% completions, don't you think they'd all do it? If the knock on Alex is that he can't throw deep, wouldn't make sense that it'd be even harder for him to be that accurate short since teams would adjust for what he does?
He does throw fewer of the lower percentage passes...but he throws less overall. As a % of his throws, the margin isn't THAT skewed. It's less..but not OMG look at that.
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I believe the margins are that small. I just don't think you learn all that much from them when they're that small and when guys like Cassel make surprising appearances/look surprisingly effective.
I'm not saying anyone could do what Alex Smith does. He's an accurate passer. I think part of his accuracy - beyond natural ability - comes from some of the things he does well - setting up plays, checking into the right play, etc.
I also think part of it is his willingness to check down short of the sticks. He's willing to take the 6-yard pass with 2 YAC on 3rd and 11, and defenses will allow those passes in a lot of cases.
My main thing is I don't believe in the guy making ENOUGH throws like the winner he threw to Vernon Davis to win in the playoffs with any consistency. The throw into tighter (but not blanket) coverage past the sticks. That's backed up by experts who have broken down his play (and especially his play in the Giants game) and by countless 49er fans on the internet.