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Old 09-02-2013, 08:05 PM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kaepernick View Post
And yet the failure rate outside of the first 2 rounds is so much higher.

All draft prospects are a crap shoot. Some pan, some don't, some exceed expectations. But it is not like it is a random draw. Your ODDS of success are so much higher in the 1st round than in the 7th.
How so? Most QBs drafted after the first round aren't drafted to be starters, are they? Aren't most QBs drafted after the first round drafted to backup a team's incumbent QB? If that is the expectation, how can you say they don't pan out? If a QB drafted after the first round overtakes the starter, then that is a pleasant surprise. Seriously, how many QBs drafted after the first round were drafted to be the starter for the team when they were drafted? The only one to potentially come to mind is Kaep. Wilson wasn't drafted to start; he was a surprise.
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