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Old 06-23-2022, 06:51 AM   #13111
scho63 scho63 is offline
Politically Incorrect
 
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Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Scottsdale, AZ
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There are TWO HUGE differences at this time that will create a soft landing for 85-90% of the US.
1. The US consumer still has a shit load of money
2. The US consumer is NOT over-leveraged like in the past so banks are in great shape

To me, the big wild card is if housing prices plunge then homeowners could be deep underwater and start walking away from their houses.
I don't think it will happen but home prices need a 25-30% haircut.
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