Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
Greinke is due $31+ million/season for the next four seasons (ages 34-37). The Diamonbacks would deal to anybody that's willing to take on his contract, IMO. That deal is just an absolute disaster and was remarkably stupid from the second it was signed. Greinke is probably going to average about 3 wins/season over the remainder of that deal and that may be generous.
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Are you basing that just on age or what?
He’s put up 10.3 bWAR (superior view, IMO), and 8.6 fWAR over the past two years.
Yes, he’s about to be 35. He also is a pitcher who has long succeeded with command and pitchability. Is he going to fall off a cliff to the point that he struggles to get to 3? It’s possible but I don’t see the evidence for it.
That deal was and still is crazy. He’s due $105 million for his age 35, 36, and 37 seasons (deal is up after 21). There’s a ton of risk there but also reasonable reason to see him continuing to be successful.
Even over the past 3 years, when he averaged 4 wins a season, you’re looking at a overpay. Way to go, Dave Stewart. Way to go.