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Well there's a couple things different between a couple years ago with Arenado.
1) He would be a free agent and a team wouldn't be giving up prospects to get him on top of his salary.
2) He has answered the "can he hit outside of Coors?" question.
3) He's in the race for MVP.
4) Kris Bryant just got 7/182M.
He'd be pretty stupid to not leverage his opt-out to get a nice sizeable raise and I dont think a meager $11M is gonna do it.
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