|
I do not consider 7 to 8 wins a "success" unless those 7-8 wins are against playoff teams. Having the last place schedule will inflate this year's performance as it did in 2010.
I expect Smith to have a "good" year by his standards and we will win maybe even 9 or 10, but cannot beat playoff caliber teams.
We have Cassel back in 2010. We will get some easy wins with AS and look bad against good teams because he, likewise, has a hard time coming back from a scoring deficit.
End of day, mediocrity with no chance for the brass ring. We'll do just good enough to have a lousy draft pick. We'll beat the Raiders twice next year and then grieve when they get the #1 pick overall in 2014 and get the best QB, leading us to a very dark place for a generation.
If you stack Geno expectations vs. AS expectations, I think you get one or two more wins maybe with AS this year, but Geno would give the hope of developing into elite/top 10 status.
With Alex, what you see is what you get. Even his greatest fans admit the same. There is no reason to believe that an 8 year veteran will transform magically into a star. Yeah, Gannon did somewhat, but Gannon had better tools than AS, and less opportunity to shine before he was given the ball.
|