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Originally Posted by dallaschiefsfan
Well...this is consistent, then. That's you're conviction, then cool. But don't act like 29 other executives and owners would do this deal and we happen to have the one tandem that won't. When it's your 20 million, you can make that decision. Ultimately....we can compare notes when Wentz is a world beater in 5 years for the Tigers or mediocre to washed-out of baseball. Pitching "prospects", after all...
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29 other? I don’t know. But a lot of teams eat money to move players and improve their return. It’s a good way to acquire young talent, which is harder to do than ever due to the hard slots in the amateur draft and IFA.
Ron Hughley isn’t carrying the water on this. Jeff Passan is. If amateurs were actually paid like what they’re worth on their initial contracts, acquisition costs of amateur talent would be drastically higher. Passan stuck a $40 million estimate on Witt and Rutschman when asked, so $24 for a guy like Wentz is right in line with that (if it even was that much).
As far as return on that value, even if Wentz only ends up becoming a solid reliever for KC, all it needs to get out of him to break even on the cost here is 3-4 wins above replacement. 6.75 years of solid reliever easily tops that.
Wentz doesn’t have to reach his upside (good No. 3 starter) to make that deal a sound financial decision, long-term.
Wentz would slot in around Kris Bubic in terms of prospect rankings, possibly higher. This is a legit guy and I can’t see a team offering more without the pressure of playoff availability. Reliever prices are usually best at the trade deadline.