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Alot to say but who wants to read a novel so I'll try to make it short..... Everything positive said about the Chiefs is true, Mahomes is the MVP and leading a great offense, defense is much better at home, home field advantage is real at Arrowhead, they are getting healthier etc. And yes it's true that Pat's were 3-5 on the road and haven't won on road in playoffs since 2006. Also, Brady and Gronk are old and passed thier prime......all true.....
But this is also true: Brady is still the QB most would want to win one game. Gronk is still capable of a big day and is a devastating run blocker. Thier secondary is ranked among the best in the NFL, thier pass rush rankings are top 10 even though they don't get alot of sacks. Edelman is finally healthy and this is the first playoff season in 3 years both Gronk and Edelman have been in the field together. They have the best running game they've had in years. The Cheifs aren't good against the run and are even worse defending the pass against the running backs and they are not good in the red zone.
Bottom line, this is a pick em game imo. Cheifs offense depends on the big play which scares me both ways but If they don't get the big play then they are containable (keep score in the 20's)especially with a veteran defense coached by Bill Belichick. Brady is a proven patient QB who will take what you give him. Pat's have faced 9 of the top 10 defenses this year and imo Chiefs don't have the talent on the field nor the coaching proof to come up with a game plan Brady hasn't seen. Chiefs must win the line of scrimmage battle, especially up the middle without blitzing to contain the Pat's offense. Chiefs do have the talent to do this however.
I see a very close game and the Cheifs home field advantage very well could prove to be the difference as proof of the Patriots/Steelers game had the Pat's Oline having trouble with the silent count. However, if it is late and close I do trust Belichick alot more the Reid and I trust Brady more than Mahomes. Games like this is why I don't bet!
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