Quote:
Originally Posted by Why Not?
Bad matchup for the Bills. They can't run at all. We can gash them with the run and once again, Kelce will eat.
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Let's actually take a look at that statement that we can't run at all.
Bills rushing avg: 4.2 YPC (20th in NFL)
Chiefs rushing avg: 4.5 YPC (12th)
-overall team rushing average per carry
Bills RB rushing avg: 4.49 YPC (11th)
Chiefs RB rushing avg: 4.22 YPC (18th)
-RB only rushing average per carry
Bills power success rate: 66% (T 16th)
Chiefs power success rate: 51% (32nd)
-power success is a run on 3rd/4th down of 2 yards or less that results in a first down/TD
Bills stuffed rate: 16.9% (15th)
Chiefs stuffed rate: 17.7% (20th)
-stuff rate is percentage of runs for no gain or loss of yardage
The Bills are actually a better running team than the Chiefs are in a traditional sense with the RBs. They average more yards per carry, are better on power runs and get stuffed less often.
The Chiefs are better overall due to their success with WR runs(Hill/Hardiman) for the most part boosting their average whereas the Bills WR runs were basically no gains or lost yardage.
Kind of what I have been saying all along...the Bills are not "bad" at running, they just don't like to do it. There is a big difference. They would rather drop back and throw it because they think they have an advantage against most teams that way. I would like the Bills to mix in some more runs in this game, although I don't think they will.