Quote:
Originally Posted by Marcellus
The numbers for the flu are understated and the CDC websight clearly tells you that.
And I am not comparing it directly to the flu, thats not what I said.
Now keep in mind this only KNOWN positives not asymptomatic or low symptom cases. Average age 81. Its not that deadly to people under 65 period.
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No, you assume it's understated because you want it to be to help your argument. The CDC looks at flu deaths and extrapolates that out to a population level with confidence intervals, which is why they list upper and lower bounds. Ninety-five percent of the time those estimates will fall within those bounds. This year I believe that it is somewhere between 25K and 62K. The number that is settled on is neither an overestimate nor an underestimate, but the best calculation they have based on that data.
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