['Hamas' Jenkins]

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut

Sure, but admissions are going to be a fair proxy, they may just not work at the same timeline.

If you're seeing 'doubling rates' that are FAR below projection on admissions, it stands to reason that you'd see similar results in ICU cases, even if they're a bit of a lagging indicator on overall admissions.

I also can't quite figure out if Cuomo is ultimately using net figures or gross figures. In other words, the daily rates since April 1 have suggested as many admissions as discharges.

But in the meantime, from April 1 to now total hospitalized has actually climbed by about 2,500. So there's a disconnect there. He may be using gross figures for discharges and net figures for admissions.

But again, it's gone up by 2,500 over a span where it was supposed to go up by 10,000. Based on a model that was updated ON April 1.

And I understand that ICU growth is what concerns you, as it should. But it's easier to pull a vent out of storage or ship it in from elsewhere (and Cuomo said yesterday morning they still have plenty that haven't been deployed) than it is to build a new field hospital. ICU utilization is important for sure, but don't sleep on positive developments in total capacity. Especially as it relates to the 'ancillary' deaths some have been concerned about - those deaths of non-COVID cases that come as a result of COVID cases overwhelming the system.

If we maintain relatively reasonable growth rates on beds, we'll also keep those figures palatable.

Didn't Cuomo also say they had six days of vents left at their current burn rate?