View Single Post
Old 05-22-2020, 02:29 PM   #32800
petegz28 petegz28 is offline
Supporter
 
petegz28's Avatar
 

Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Olathe, Ks
Casino cash: $2634127
Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins View Post
The CDC projects an average number of deaths for the flu every year. You can find the info on the number of people who they believe died of the flu right here:

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html

There is a reported number and a 95% confidence interval for each group. The listed number for each group that I gave Marcellus is pulled directly from that link.

That link also contains an estimated number of symptomatic infections (asymptomatic infections would decrease the IFR of the flu, but again, I did not include them)

Meanwhile, the CDC is also listing deaths from COVID on the site you linked. Note that I pulled deaths from the COVID side only and not from COVID+pneumonia, which would purposefully depress the numbers.

Antibody studies in the US have put prevalence at no more than 5%. Five percent of 330,000,000 is 16 million.

So, disease A has 16 million total infections and 13,000+ deaths in one cohort. Disease B has 35 million symptomatic infections and 8,000 deaths in the same cohort.

Even when I make every piece of data look artificially low for COVID, the death rate is still multiple times higher than the flu for people under 65.
If your point is more people over the age of 65 are dying from Covid than Influenza then I agree. My point was that according to that CDC spreadsheet that more are dying from "pneumonia" than Covid. They have a Covid+pneumonia column so I assume that means the stand alone pneumonia column means it was from something other than covid.
Posts: 128,154
petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote