Quote:
Originally Posted by jbwm89
The article is basically saying they are getting lucky to have the current Runs Scored and Runs Allowed numbers that they have. Pythagorean data says that given their RA and RS they are two games unlucky. Doesn't mean that they aren't getting "lucky" getting t their current numbers.
I would say the Royals are pretty lucky to be 6.5 back given how badly moose/hoz/butler have sucked, among others.
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I understand perfectly what the article is trying to say. However, using FIP and BABIP here can make you say what you want it to. The Royals built a team around pitching and defense so it's quite expected that their ERA would out-do the typical team given their defenders. Maybe it's not the way to win in the AL (their hitting has suffered for it) but it explains the guy's points.
To put it another way: had we signed Melky types we'd be better offensively but worse defensively and we'd still probably wash out the same run differential.