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Wow...3 years for Ryan Dempster.
Look, I know that Dayton Moore isn't exactly a SABRE guy, so we'll see if this is simple enough for him:
2010: 91.0
2011: 90.3
2012: 89.7
It doesn't get more basic than "fastball declining at better than 1/2 mph/season for the last 3 seasons", does it?
I mean sure, we could start looking at declining GB rates and unsustainable strand rates, but that's probably not worth the effort. The bottom line is that Dempster will be 36 years old next season and if he continues to bleed velocity, will have an average fastball velocity of barely 89 mph.
Granted, velocity isn't everything, but watching it slowly bleed away does suggest diminishing stuff, especially for an aging starter.
2 years is a questionable decision, 3 years is just an awful one.
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"When you look at something through rose colored glasses, all the red flags just look like flags."
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