Battle for the top two AFC seeds

[Hammock Parties]

The current standings:

1. 10-2 New England
2. 9-3 Pittsburgh
3. 8-4 Kansas City
4. 7-5 Jacksonville
5. 9-3 New York
6. 8-4 Baltimore.



Remaining tough games for New England:

Chicago, Green Bay, Miami

Remaining tough games for Baltimore:

Houston, New Orleans

Remaining tough games for New York:

Miami, Pitt, Chicago

Remaining tough games for Pitt:

New England, Baltimore, New York

Remaining tough games for KC:

San Diego, Tennessee


Notice that the other contenders on this list are going to play each other. A lot. It's entirely possible these teams could cannibalize each other while we sit back and laugh and reap the reward.

If the Chiefs take care of business and beat the losers on their schedule we could very well claim a first-round bye.

[SenselessChiefsFan]

Originally Posted by ChiefsNow

I think it is imperative that we beat the faiders this weekend or our situation is gonna go downhill

Well, if you think the Chiefs are competing for a bye, then yes, you are correct.

If you think the Chiefs are just competing for the division, then this game puts a ton more pressure on the Raiders.

[Hammock Parties]

If NE loses this gets really interesting.

The Jets, with a win over Detroit, would move into first place in the AFC East

They would then either be the 1 seed or 2 seed depending on the outcome of Bal-Mia.

If Baltimore loses we would be the 2 seed. I think. Don't quote me on that.

We'd have to win of course.

[2112]

Originally Posted by Gif Horse

If NE loses this gets really interesting.

The Jets, with a win over Detroit, would move into first place in the AFC East

They would then either be the 1 seed or 2 seed depending on the outcome of Bal-Mia.

If Baltimore loses we would be the 2 seed. I think. Don't quote me on that.

We'd have to win of course.

JeTs and the Ravens both won. Patriots lost. and I just quoted you on this.

[2112]

And the Colts are losing to the iggles in the 4th quarter

[Hammock Parties]

The current standings:

1. 6-2 Baltimore
2. 6-2 New York
3. 5-3 Indianapolis
4. 5-3 Kansas City
5. 6-2 Pittsburgh
6. 6-2 New England

I'm going to assume that Pitt smashes the ever-living **** out of the Bengals tomorrow night.

That means if the season ended tomorrow, we would host the Steelers in a wild-card game. That would be fun for Matt Cassel.

Next week:

BAL @ ATL
NYJ @ CLE
KC @ DEN
NE @ PIT

Standings prediction:

1. 7-2 New York
2. 7-2 Pittsburgh
3. 6-3 Kansas City
4. 5-3 Indianapolis
5. 6-3 Baltimore
6. 6-3 New England

[Hammock Parties]

Wow!

I didn't even realize Tennessee owns tiebreakers.

The current standings:

1. 6-2 Baltimore
2. 6-2 New York
3. 5-3 Kansas City
4. 5-3 Tennessee
5. 6-2 Pittsburgh
6. 6-2 New England

If the season ended today, Indy would not be in the playoffs. We would host New England.

Next week:

BAL @ ATL
NYJ @ CLE
KC @ DEN
NE @ PIT
TEN @ MIA

Standings prediction:

1. 7-2 New York
2. 7-2 Pittsburgh
3. 6-3 Kansas City
4. 6-3 Tennessee
5. 6-3 Baltimore
6. 6-3 New England

Bottom line: all the nancies crying about this team not going to the playoffs can STFU.

[Discuss Thrower]

GoChiefs, I luv ya, but you have to lay off the KoolAid. This team ain't goin' anywhere near postseason for a season or two.

[PornChief]

Originally Posted by J-Town Fan 1988

GoChiefs, I luv ya, but you have to lay off the KoolAid. This team ain't goin' anywhere near postseason for a season or two.

Silence the heretic!

[Hammock Parties]

Originally Posted by J-Town Fan 1988

GoChiefs, I luv ya, but you have to lay off the KoolAid. This team ain't goin' anywhere near postseason for a season or two.

The Chiefs are currently the #3 seed and have games against Denver (2-6), Arizona (3-5), Denver (2-6), St. Louis (4-4), and Oakland at Arrowhead. They will win ALL of those games.

They will lose to San Diego, Tennessee and Seattle and finish 10-6.

Here is what I am concerned about: the Chargers.

Look at their remaining schedule:

Denver, Indianapolis, Oakland, Kansas City, San Francisco, Cincy, Denver.

San Diego's schedule is easy. I can see them losing to Indianapolis and winning the rest of those games.

That would give them a 10-6 record.

So who wins the division?

The Chiefs, but barely. They would have one divisional loss, the Chargers would have two.

But that is the narrowest of margins. The Chiefs can't afford a ****up in the division from here on out.

[Discuss Thrower]

Originally Posted by Gif Horse

The Chiefs are currently the #3 seed and have games against Denver (2-6), Arizona (3-5), Denver (2-6), St. Louis (4-4), and Oakland at Arrowhead. They will win ALL of those games.

They will lose to San Diego, Tennessee and Seattle and finish 10-6.

Are you feeling a friendly wager on the STL game? Is this something we should discus at a later time?

[Hammock Parties]

Originally Posted by J-Town Fan 1988

Are you feeling a friendly wager on the STL game? Is this something we should discus at a later time?

The Chiefs aren't going to lose to a rookie quarterback.

[cdcox]

Originally Posted by Gif Horse

The Chiefs are currently the #3 seed and have games against Denver (2-6), Arizona (3-5), Denver (2-6), St. Louis (4-4), and Oakland at Arrowhead. They will win ALL of those games.

They will lose to San Diego, Tennessee and Seattle and finish 10-6.

Here is what I am concerned about: the Chargers.

Look at their remaining schedule:

Denver, Indianapolis, Oakland, Kansas City, San Francisco, Cincy, Denver.

San Diego's schedule is easy. I can see them losing to Indianapolis and winning the rest of those games.

That would give them a 10-6 record.

So who wins the division?

The Chiefs, but barely. They would have one divisional loss, the Chargers would have two.

But that is the narrowest of margins. The Chiefs can't afford a ****up in the division from here on out.

In your scenario, the Chiefs would have two divisional losses, Oakand and SD. I think SD has most if not all of the tiebreakers if our records are tied.

For the KC wins and losses your outline, we'd have a 39% chance of winning the division and 60% chance of making the playoffs.

[Hammock Parties]

Originally Posted by cdcox

In your scenario, the Chiefs would have two divisional losses, Oakand and SD. I think SD has most if not all of the tiebreakers if our records are tied.

For the KC wins and losses your outline, we'd have a 39% chance of winning the division and 60% chance of making the playoffs.

Oh, crap. I forgot about that.

So now we get to crazy tiebreakers:

1. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.

Good luck figuring that out.

[cdcox]

Originally Posted by Gif Horse

Oh, crap. I forgot about that.

So now we get to crazy tiebreakers:

1. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.

Good luck figuring that out.

My software does it automatically. You really should check it out.

I checked the 10-6 scenario that you presented. Chargers win the division.

Last night I analyzed all of the 11-5 scenarios and the Chargers beat us on all the 11-5 tiebreakers regardless of who our losses are to.

[Hammock Parties]

Originally Posted by cdcox

I checked the 10-6 scenario that you presented. Chargers win the division.

So they'd win the common games tiebreaker?

Shit.

Thanks a lot Bowe!