***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[Bearcat]

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath15

No apologies necessary. I was just freaking out for a second thinking about being stuck in MO much longer.

If Phoenix heat doesn't kill this ****er, we should all give up and find a new planet to live on.

[LiveSteam]

Originally Posted by Donger

Are you claiming that you haven't downplayed this?

This guy

[Donger]

Originally Posted by Bearcat

If Phoenix heat doesn't kill this ****er, we should all give up and find a new planet to live on.

[Why Not?]

Originally Posted by Bearcat

If Phoenix heat doesn't kill this ****er, we should all give up and find a new planet to live on.

Yep. We’re gonna find out real quick. Triple digits start tomorrow

[IowaHawkeyeChief]

Originally Posted by Rukdafaidas

Of the 34,000 people that died from the flu last year, 26,000 of them were over 65 years old.

Just for fun, look at the deaths from last year, 2018-2019, and even better 2017-2018 flu seasons and deaths under 50...

[O.city]

The serology study from the French high school is interesting

[O.city]

https://twitter.com/andybiotech/stat...201735176?s=21

['Hamas' Jenkins]

Originally Posted by O.city

https://twitter.com/andybiotech/stat...201735176?s=21

Interesting data points. Not a perfect study, and the recruiting process is flawed, but they coordinated it fairly well.

[DaFace]

For all you number trackers, I've started to better understand some of the reasons that the numbers seem to be so inconsistent across sites as I try and keep up on what's happening in Colorado. I started digging yesterday when I saw the chart on the IHME site that showed Colorado had 63 deaths on April 21, which is nearly double our previous high:



So to try and figure out what was going on, I looked at our state health department's site, and found this chart, which shows 4 on the 21st.



While it's tough to decipher why there's such a huge difference, it's obvious that the CDPHE data makes a ton more sense. My guess is that IMHE is just assigning values to when they get posted online, which doesn't necessarily line up anywhere close to when the deaths actually happened.

I don't know if I have much of a point to this except to suggest that people not get too hung up on the numbers you're finding online for any individual day since they're driven by reporting periods as much as they are by how many people actually die each day.

[petegz28]

I guess Giv of Kansas says May 3rd is doubtful because "there isn't enough testing kits".....whatever that means

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

[ghak99]

Originally Posted by TLO

It's confirmed. They're about to test 3000 people that work at this processing plant in St. Joe. This should be interesting.

The fact they are going to roll out 3000 tests in a couple days is pretty impressive though. They expect to have all the results by Monday.

I quit making posts about the packer issues, but lets just say it is every where and the list of plants running at half staff is quite lengthy. Every day a new batch of processing location rumors come out and a few days later the plants make moves that admit the issues exist.

Very little of this info is making headlines beyond the groups who stand to lose massive amounts of money soon.

[TLO]

Originally Posted by ghak99

I quit making posts about the packer issues, but lets just say it is every where and the list of plants running at half staff is quite lengthy. Every day a new batch of processing location rumors come out and a few days later the plants make moves that admit the issues exist.

Very little of this info is making headlines beyond the groups who stand to lose massive amounts of money soon.

I'm very interested to see what % actually test positive out of this group.

I've never been inside one of these plants, all I have to go off of is stuff I read on Facebook, (not exactly the most reliable of sources, but that's all I've got).

The accounts I've read make it sound like people are packed in there like sardines..social distancing is impossible. And when you have 3000 people in one plant - it sounds like the perfect breeding ground for the virus.

I'd be surprised if the total doesn't come out to somewhere between 300-500 infected. I might be on the low end with that guess.

[Demonpenz]

The guy in the news press giving quotes is a national treasure along with the guy from Tysons plant

[dirk digler]

Just got notice a little while ago our work is requiring us to work from home through May 31. Seems prudent.

[BigCatDaddy]

Originally Posted by TLO

I'm very interested to see what % actually test positive out of this group.

I've never been inside one of these plants, all I have to go off of is stuff I read on Facebook, (not exactly the most reliable of sources, but that's all I've got).

The accounts I've read make it sound like people are packed in there like sardines..social distancing is impossible. And when you have 3000 people in one plant - it sounds like the perfect breeding ground for the virus.

I'd be surprised if the total doesn't come out to somewhere between 300-500 infected. I might be on the low end with that guess.

Me and others will he some mad mother ****ers if they use this to go back to May 15th.