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Old 11-21-2021, 07:21 PM  
MMXcalibur MMXcalibur is online now
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How good are the Chiefs chances at the AFC's #1 seed?
Updated: 12/19

Teams that actually matter in this conversation:

Kansas City (10-4) (vs PIT, at CIN, at DEN)

New England (9-5) (vs BUF, vs JAC, at MIA)

Tennessee (9-5) (vs SF, vs MIA, at HOU)

Baltimore (8-5) (vs GB, at CIN, vs LAR, vs PIT)

Buffalo (8-6) (at NE, vs ATL, vs NYJ)

Indianapolis (8-6) (at ARI, vs LV, at JAC)

LA Chargers (8-6) (at HOU, vs DEN, at LV)

---

Being 1 game back with six games to play seems incredibly generous given our shitty tiebreaker situation. I'll put our odds at 99.9999999%
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Old 12-07-2021, 01:54 AM   #361
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We'll be favored in every game. The **** you talking about?
Chiefs won’t be favored in that chargers game.
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Old 12-07-2021, 01:59 AM   #362
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The Cincy game will be tougher than people think.
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Old 12-07-2021, 05:52 AM   #363
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The Cincy game will be tougher than people think.

Joey Burrow is now playing through a dislocated finger on his throwing hand and the Bengals’ OL still isn’t good (has surrendered 36 sacks).

The KC DL is going to pound them into submission. Not a good matchup for Cincinnati.

Re: San Diego, that’s the toughest game left on KC’s schedule, primarily because of the turnaround time.

Thankfully it’s a divisional opponent they spent time prepping for in the offseason, and weather should not be an issue for it.

I don’t know if KC will be favored, but if they pound the Raiders this week I’d guess they will.
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Old 12-07-2021, 06:08 AM   #364
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Chiefs won’t be favored in that chargers game.
Bet they will.
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Old 12-07-2021, 06:43 AM   #365
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Jones won't beat Mahomes. But Belichick might.


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Old 12-07-2021, 06:54 AM   #366
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Joey Burrow is now playing through a dislocated finger on his throwing hand and the Bengals’ OL still isn’t good (has surrendered 36 sacks).

The KC DL is going to pound them into submission. Not a good matchup for Cincinnati.

Re: San Diego, that’s the toughest game left on KC’s schedule, primarily because of the turnaround time.

Thankfully it’s a divisional opponent they spent time prepping for in the offseason, and weather should not be an issue for it.

I don’t know if KC will be favored, but if they pound the Raiders this week I’d guess they will.
Jones should feast against the Bengals. With our improved run defense, Mixon doesn’t worry me much. Teams with TE’s who can attack the inside seams tend to give us trouble, and Uzomah only has like 2 good games on the year. I don’t think he’s much of a threat. Higgins and Chase are great, but Sneed and Ward match up with them about as well as any CBs will.
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Old 12-07-2021, 07:02 AM   #367
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Jones should feast against the Bengals. With our improved run defense, Mixon doesn’t worry me much. Teams with TE’s who can attack the inside seams tend to give us trouble, and Uzomah only has like 2 good games on the year. I don’t think he’s much of a threat. Higgins and Chase are great, but Sneed and Ward match up with them about as well as any CBs will.

That’s the way I see it, too.
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Old 12-08-2021, 08:10 AM   #368
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Old 12-08-2021, 08:59 AM   #369
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Old 12-08-2021, 09:01 AM   #370
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I love what that says about the Chiefs but those ranking are WHACK.

New England chances are twice as good as Tampa or Arizona? New England is way overhyped.
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Old 12-08-2021, 09:12 AM   #371
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That's what the math says.

If NE drops the one seed I think their chances go way down.
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Old 12-08-2021, 09:15 AM   #372
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Chiefs won’t be favored in that chargers game.
KC will be 3ish point favorites at Chargers.
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Old 12-08-2021, 09:35 AM   #373
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That's what the math says.

If NE drops the one seed I think their chances go way down.
PFF isn't just "math". They use subjective "eye tests" as well. And they're letting past history blind them when it comes to the Pats.
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Old 12-08-2021, 09:41 AM   #374
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PFF isn't just "math". They use subjective "eye tests" as well. And they're letting past history blind them when it comes to the Pats.
I'm referring to Football Outsiders. That place has usually been rock solid with these types of rankings because they are not as subjective.
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Old 12-08-2021, 09:45 AM   #375
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The pure math systems really like the Patriots as well. DVOA has NE as the #11 offense, the #2 defense, and the #4 special teams, good for #2 overall on the year.

Looking at the last 10 games, the Patriots are far and away the best team using DVOA.

Not saying I agree that's the case in reality, but the numbers like the Pats, especially right now.
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