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Old 11-21-2021, 07:21 PM  
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How good are the Chiefs chances at the AFC's #1 seed?
Updated: 12/19

Teams that actually matter in this conversation:

Kansas City (10-4) (vs PIT, at CIN, at DEN)

New England (9-5) (vs BUF, vs JAC, at MIA)

Tennessee (9-5) (vs SF, vs MIA, at HOU)

Baltimore (8-5) (vs GB, at CIN, vs LAR, vs PIT)

Buffalo (8-6) (at NE, vs ATL, vs NYJ)

Indianapolis (8-6) (at ARI, vs LV, at JAC)

LA Chargers (8-6) (at HOU, vs DEN, at LV)

---

Being 1 game back with six games to play seems incredibly generous given our shitty tiebreaker situation. I'll put our odds at 99.9999999%
Last edited by MMXcalibur; 12-19-2021 at 03:13 PM..
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Old 12-08-2021, 10:07 AM   #391
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Old 12-08-2021, 10:12 AM   #392
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Originally Posted by tredadda View Post
And Buffalo the second time they play. I fully expected them and Buffalo to split their games.
Very possible.

They are evenly matched, that's why I bet the under even though I liked the Patriots slightly more last game because of the conditions.

Buffalo could have had one of Allen's screwball passes get caught in the end. Buffalo guys were open.
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Old 12-08-2021, 10:19 AM   #393
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That Dolphins defense is going to give him fits. They're talented and well-coached, by a former Patriot no less.
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Old 12-08-2021, 10:28 AM   #394
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The pure math systems really like the Patriots as well. DVOA has NE as the #11 offense, the #2 defense, and the #4 special teams, good for #2 overall on the year.

Looking at the last 10 games, the Patriots are far and away the best team using DVOA.

Not saying I agree that's the case in reality, but the numbers like the Pats, especially right now.
They've been shit kicking pretty much everyone they play for the last two months so that makes sense.

The rookie QB will likely limit them from making it to the Super Bowl.
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Old 12-08-2021, 10:28 AM   #395
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The pure math systems really like the Patriots as well. DVOA has NE as the #11 offense, the #2 defense, and the #4 special teams, good for #2 overall on the year.

Looking at the last 10 games, the Patriots are far and away the best team using DVOA.

Not saying I agree that's the case in reality, but the numbers like the Pats, especially right now.
Yeah, I mean, it's hard to argue w/ a 150 pt point differential. The Patriots are kicking ass right now.

Now I think a BIG part of that is a soft schedule, but the numbers are what the numbers are.

And looking at Buffalo's slate, as well as some of the tie-breaker scenarios, there's a WAY better chance that they miss the playoffs outright than there is that they get the 1 seed, IMO. They're in a world of trouble here. They need to win 4 of 5 w/ the Colts having the tie-breaker over them. I don't think 10-7 gets them in - I think they'll need 11.

I just don't see them doing that with the way their schedule sets up.
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Old 12-08-2021, 10:32 AM   #396
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That Dolphins defense is going to give him fits. They're talented and well-coached, by a former Patriot no less.
Whatever. You are not beating pats defense this year unless you have a stud QB that can. Tua is not and will get exposed.
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Old 12-08-2021, 10:34 AM   #397
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Whatever. You are not beating pats defense this year unless you have a stud QB that can. Tua is not and will get exposed.
I didn't say the Dolphins will win, you should really try reading instead of shitposting.
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Old 12-08-2021, 10:35 AM   #398
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And I'm absolutely shocked, just shocked, I tell you, that Red Dawg loves this Patriots team.

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Old 12-08-2021, 10:41 AM   #399
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No he won't. He never has. The two times KC lost to NE in the Mahomes era was because the KC defense played like garbage. Belichick has never been able to shut down Mahomes for an entire game.

Right, but now he doesn't have to shut down Mahomes. Nowdays, either Mahomes' receivers shut him down or Mahomes shuts himself down.
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Old 12-08-2021, 10:44 AM   #400
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Right, but now he doesn't have to shut down Mahomes. Nowdays, either Mahomes' receivers shut him down or Mahomes shuts himself down.
True. But KC also doesn't have a BIG 12 caliber defense either this year.
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Old 12-08-2021, 10:48 AM   #401
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Let's worry about the Pats if/when we get to them. A lot can change in that amount of time.
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Old 12-08-2021, 11:01 AM   #402
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Old 12-08-2021, 11:03 AM   #403
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Ravens are gonna miss the playoffs.
Oh my god I hadn't considered this, but that would be the best thing ever.
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Old 12-08-2021, 11:09 AM   #404
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Not saying I agree that's the case in reality, but the numbers like the Pats, especially right now.
That's okay because the football gods like PATRICK!
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Old 12-08-2021, 11:14 AM   #405
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Oh my god I hadn't considered this, but that would be the best thing ever.
Hell the Chargers and Titans might, too.

Would be sweeter than pie!
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