Investing megathread extravaganza

[DaFace]

A place to talk about investing stuff.

[Discuss Thrower]

Originally Posted by blake5676

Care to elaborate on this or link to any reasoning?

Wife and I are currently building a house. Two months ago I was thinking, "Great...market is doing well and we shouldn't have trouble selling current home AND interest rates are pretty damn low and not expected to rise much if at all."

In the past few weeks, rightly or wrongly I've thought that while I'm still not terribly worried about interest rates rising too much by the time our build is complete, I've started being a little less confident in the ease of selling our current home.

As it stands, construction hasn't slowed down and builder doesn't foresee much change in original timeline, which is targeted at a late October completion.

Talk to a mortgage lender as soon as it's convenient. If your FICO score is above 650 you'll probably be fine.

[blake5676]

Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower

Talk to a mortgage lender as soon as it's convenient. If your FICO score is above 650 you'll probably be fine.

It's been a few weeks since last contact but we've spoken to a few. Wife has perfect credit and mine comfortably in the 7's but not as good as hers.

We aren't planning on paying to lock super early but I guess we'll just be playing it by ear over the next few months and see what happens. My main priority right now is talking her OUT of selling the house in a few months and moving into a short term while the build finishes. That sounds like hell on earth to me.

[ChiliConCarnage]

Corporate Insiders bought the dip



I've also seen prominent hedge fund types who seem to have done the same. Sort of surprised, but I guess it should be obvious by how fast we shot up that large buyers had to be moving it.

[KCUnited]

Had to provide a handwritten letter to my mortgage underwriter stating my employment/income has not been affected by covid-19...1 business day before closing.

[Rain Man]

Originally Posted by ChiliConCarnage

Corporate Insiders bought the dip

Very interesting.

One thing I've thought about in the past (2009-2011) is that recessions are good for the big investors as long as they're short. Big investors can sit on losses for a while and buy when everyday people are desperate and worried about losing everything.

[Buehler445]

Originally Posted by ChiliConCarnage

Corporate Insiders bought the dip



I've also seen prominent hedge fund types who seem to have done the same. Sort of surprised, but I guess it should be obvious by how fast we shot up that large buyers had to be moving it.

Yeah. I’d have guessed that. But it’s an interesting chart. Where did you get it?

[Discuss Thrower]

Originally Posted by Buehler445

Yeah. I’d have guessed that. But it’s an interesting chart. Where did you get it?

Corporate insiders are going HAM (finally)

"The ratio of companies with insider buying compared to insider selling is at 1.75 for March, its highest level since March of 2009" pic.twitter.com/jOnW7R7Wps

— Downtown Josh Brown (@ReformedBroker) March 27, 2020

If you look at his other tweets he points out that there's no possible way the SBA can service $350B in loans.

[scho63]

Boeing already back to $160+ from $88 in a week. WOW

[shitgoose]

Originally Posted by scho63

Boeing already back to $160+ from $88 in a week. WOW

Big bounce on stimulus news

I have strong feelings about them and other commercial aircraft manufacturers. They are in big trouble. Boeing in particular because the 737 Max nightmare has yet to be resolved. Lots and lots of aircraft folks being layed off here in Wichita.

I've never traded options before but have considered buy some longer term puts on Boeing.

[lewdog]

Looking at blue chip companies that are currently down but that should have no problem rebounding after this.

[DJJasonp]

Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower

Not that I think anyone will be buying houses who aren't already in the position where they are immune from the depression, but it's looking likely mortgage rates will go up as lenders raise minimum FICO scores and thus will need higher yields to meet the bottom line.

Wouldnt this decrease demand for mortgages (and therefore, keep rates same or lower)?

Mix in the tremendous amount of people who have lost their jobs - and the market for people who can qualify for a loan has drastically decreased over the past few weeks.......

[KCUnited]

Eyeballed Boston Beer Co a week ago and they've been on a come up. Feel covid could burst the craft bubble and beer drinkers could retreat back to more competitively priced national brands. Plus they're heavily invested in hard seltzer with Truly. While not the cult brand White Claw is, they still seem to be ahead of ABInbev and Constellation in that space.

[lewdog]

Looking at jumping back into JNJ during this downturn.

Also considering WFC stock.

[Discuss Thrower]

Thinking long NTM puts among AMD, FISV, GPN, NEM, SRE and XEL

[scho63]

What's everyone's feeling on Disney?

What do we think will be the first industries to get back to full operations?

Gyms, movie theaters, airlines and cruise companies will probably be the last