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Running the ball 15 times/gm has almost an identical impact on the PA passing game as running it 30 times. The study from Marcellus demonstrates it pretty clearly but there have been literally dozens of them in the past few years. It takes very VERY little focus on the running game to 'set up' big pass plays. And despite all the hand-wringing, the Chiefs have routinely run the ball the 20-25 times/gm they ran it last night. There is a threshold level you have to run it for the play action game to be impacted - it's something along the lines of 12-15 times/gm. And the returns diminish significantly once you hit that threshold level. You do not 'establish the run' to set up the pass in this league. Haven't in over a decade. |
I'd really like to know who the stubborn ****er was that kept calling edge runs to the right. Jesus Christ that was starting to get infuriating.
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Also wonder if Pat was on Cocaine last night. Dude was ****ing wired in compared to this last month of shit. Don't remember much if at all of those plays where he just holds the ball then does something really stupid in panic/desperation. Quick, accurate, and decisive.
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KC has had the most prolific offense in football for 3+ years while running it around 25-30% of the time. The idea this needs to change is insane. |
Still wanna start slowly working in more power run game concepts into the offense instead of running outside zone with offensive lineman who are objectively a better fit for a power run game. Acting like power formations would neuter the offense’s ability is silly, but up Clays alley.
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If Mahomes and Gray continue to gel nicely then PA out of 12 personnel will be ****ing deadly. Teams will get taped for stacking the box when Mahomes goes under center.
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It's really not open for discussion to anyone that's bothered to dig into it. There may be some unique team by team examples where there could be some larger, more direct relationship, but the Chiefs and their mediocre RBs and damn effective pass-catchers most assuredly wouldn't be one of them. This team is NOT going to scare teams into cheating run. They'll continue to run enough to get that same hesitancy over 15 carries that they'd get over 30 and they'll continue to use the underneath passing game to set up the deep passing game. Why? Because Andy Reid is smart and it's the smart thing to do. Oh, and for the 'why weren't we throwing underneath the last 5 weeks?!?!?' crowd - please go look at Mahomes passing charts via nextgen stats. We were. He was slumping guys, he was missing shots, clutching and hesitating on makeable windows and feeling phantom pressure. That's all there is to this. Keep firing, Patrick. Go be you - the baddest mother****er on the planet. |
Also helps a bunch when Hardman, Pringle, and Robinson do their jobs competently without the dumb shit that led to us turning the ball over 19 times total.
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rUn ThE bALl
3 3:38 3-2 LVR 49 Patrick Mahomes pass complete deep left to Tyreek Hill for 32 yards 4 9:09 3-2 KAN 45 Patrick Mahomes pass complete short middle to Travis Kelce for 30 yards 62 yards on two plays that led to touchdowns where Chief fan wanted buttsex |
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BTW, Darrell Williams tremendous catch in the endzone just shows how much we miss a guy who can go up and battle for a ball. Tyreek high points well, but he is just too short to consistently win those battles. We could really use that skillset in this offense. I still have hopes for J Gordon; clearly he’s showing the effects of not playing in awhile and in not having a pre-season to get his timing and communication down with Patrick. Of course, he could also be over the hill; I’m just hoping he still has something left in the tank — we may not know until next year. |
as others have probably mentioned, I don't think running the ball is going to get opposing defenses to put another guy in the box; they're absolutely going to hang back and not get hammered over the top.
what will get them to get out of that 2 high look is executing long methodical drives that lead to points and a defense that can force a few punts. eventually Chiefs are up by 10-14 or more points. opposing defenses will have to come out of that look to try to end drives and get the ball back. last nights game is exactly the formula the Chiefs need to do to counter other teams' 'formula' in beating Mahomes. Be patient, take what's given, limit penalties (offensively and defensively not extending opponents drives via penalty) and don't turn over the ball. Literally, focus on executing the play at hand, and metriculate. IMO |
I've said it before and I'll say it again - there is almost no reason to ever run the ball on 1st down or 2nd and over 5. You are just giving away expected yards and points. Run the ball on those downs when you are up by multiple scores in the second half, yeah sure fine but early in the game pass every time in those situations.
Our short passing game keeps the defense more honest than running the ball up the middle. |
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3rd and 10 is a hell of a lot harder than 3rd and 6. You can do whip routes and arrow routes and quick slants or comebacks to the TE that are easy 5-7 yard plays but those aren't really viable for 10 yards. I hate almost every 1st down run but you do have to do it on occasion as a tendency breaker. On 2nd down and 10, however, I think most defenses are expecting pass so you probably have a nice chance to pick up 4-5 yards and set up a much broader playbook for 3rd down. |
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By the way - THIS is how the Chiefs will draw safeties down:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FENU_1AU...jpg&name=small One catch all night made 15 yards downfield and he went for 120 yards. Safeties play us 15-18 yards deep at the snap and are bailing immediately. You keep hitting Kelce underneath and they're going to stop doing that. You don't 'establish the run' - you establish Travis Kelce. That's how you'll keep those deep shots open. |
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Teams can/will counter Kelce by bracketing him. You can do that and still maintain a little bit of a 2 high look. But you can't do that if you also have to account for Hardman streaking over the middle because he'll manage to lose anyone that's trying to hang with him and if you have him going the opposite direction of Kelce, you force a decision point for that safety looking to bracket Kelce. It won't work every time, but it'll work plenty often and if Hardman gets that ball in full stride, he's going to have an angle on anyone trying to cover him. |
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The TD to Pringle was an excellent example of the defense biting up hard on the play fake. And he bit hard not because they "feared" the run, but because we had been taking the underneath stuff all night in all sorts of various forms. Now, it's not any different than what the Chiefs have been doing all year. The difference is the Raiders defense didn't stay disciplined, which is required to for the "Mahomes Treatment" plan to work. |
I said the Chiefs needed to run the ball more; probably should have added that I would like to see Patrick under center more often as linebackers don't fall for the play action very often in the shotgun.
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Herm Edwards, is that you? |
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You are welcome for my useless stats and sarcasm! ROFL |
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Again - yesterday was a perfect gameplan Run the ball a little early, pass the ball to generate a lead, run the ball to take the air out of the clock and IF you get a shot, take it to put your foot on their throat and end it. |
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