Quote:
Originally Posted by Al Bundy
He should already be in Low A and pounding those pitching staff's. They are going to hide him all off-season and hope people forget about him while they worry about the stadium. This pick should get Ontiveros fired.
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He should already be in low A? Historically, high picks out of high school don't usually make it out of rookie ball in the season of their draft year. Bobby Witt Jr. didn't play above rookie ball in his 2019 pro debut.
There are outliers of course like Nolan Gorman, but development isn't linear.
Just for context, I went back and looked at the famous 2005 amateur draft when five big time prospect outfielders were taken out of HS in the first round with Justin Upton, Cameron Maybin, Andrew McCutchen, Jay Bruce and Colby Rasmus.
Upton and Maybin signed late and didn't play at all, but McCutchen, Bruce and Rasmus only played in rookie ball after they signed.
The following year, Maybin, Bruce and Upton spent the entire year at low Single-A. Rasmus got promoted to high Single-A after starting in low A and McCutchen got a late promotion to Double-A after playing the majority of the year in low A.