Odds of seeing the Chiefs in the playoffs
 

Looking around the internet at various money lines, I tried to come up with what a "fair" money line might be for each game. (theoretical equal, which isnt found in a casino)

I came up with:

(updated 1/1/2006)

Chiefs -300
Broncos (Win)
Lions +600

On the surface this seems reasonable to me. Mathematically, the expected chance of hitting both of those money lines would be about 10.7%

In the wildly optimistic scenario:

(updated 1/1/2006)

Chiefs -400
Broncos (Win)
Lions +400

This would work out to be 16%.

So, in the wildly optimistic scenario, I put the Chiefs at an 16% chance of playing after this weekend. Realistically: 10.7%

So your telling me there's a chance!

A very small one. :(

Just until about this time tomorrow.

what happened to all that one-in-a-million talk?

Even if San Diego goes down tomorrow, our realistic odds only improve to 10.7% on Sunday.

It was a dumb and dumb movie quote....

I think it was a dumber movie quote

Its possible, but there is a better chance of seeing gochiefs and slayer dping jenna on cable sunday.

San Diego won't go down.......Donks will throw the game.

Odds updated, I figure we have about a 1 in 10 shot now.

I'd pay to see that but only if gochiefs and slayer were removed from the picture.

Nah...Detroit would be more than a 9:1 underdog all by itself at a whopping +16. I say about a 3% chance.

Well, I'm giving the Chiefs a 75% chance to win today, so if we assume the Lions have a 1 in 10 shot, that puts our own chances at 7.5%