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Reload this Page Chiefs 538.com weighs in: Chiefs "simulation" nets 10 wins, but game-by-game odds? 13.
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Old 09-07-2016, 11:43 AM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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538.com weighs in: Chiefs "simulation" nets 10 wins, but game-by-game odds? 13.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...l-predictions/

They only have us as clear underdogs in Pitt, in Carolina, and in Denver. We're slated as favorites in the other 13 games. We would theoretically be 8-0 at home and 5-3 on the road.

They give us a 2/3's chance to make the playoffs, but a sub-40% chance to win the division. They think we have a 30% chance to get a first round bye, and a 9% chance to win the Super Bowl.

Pretty weird.

They'll have an AFC West preview in a few days. I'll update the OP with it when it's posted.
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Old 09-08-2016, 09:55 PM   #61
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There's a damn good chance that they start out 0-3.

Carolina, Indy, and Cincy with a QB with absolutely no experience.
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Old 09-08-2016, 09:58 PM   #62
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11-5 and a WC at best.

Only thing that can stop Denver is if Elway woke up Monday morning and decides to trade Siemien for Brian Hoyer or some shit.
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Old 09-09-2016, 08:43 AM   #63
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11-5 and a WC at best.

Only thing that can stop Denver is if Elway woke up Monday morning and decides to trade Siemien for Brian Hoyer or some shit.
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Old 09-18-2016, 04:13 PM   #64
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I see us at 10 - 6 winning the AFC West as the third seed.

Chargers W (a limited Charles keeps this closer than it should be)
at Texans L (they always give us problems, and no Houston really hurts us)
Jets W (young QB @ Arrowhead early in the season)
at Steelers W (Alex outshines Big Ben in a shootout, his best game of the season)
at Raiders W (with Charles back at 100%, Chiefs rush for 250+)
Saints L (still no Houston = not enough pass rush, Brees lights it up for 400+ yards & 5 TDs)
at Colts L (Chiefs put up 4 touchdowns, but not enough as defense lets them down in Houston's first game back)
Jaguars W (we win by 3+ scores)
at Panthers L (we lose big. This is the game that RBBC comes back to bite us as they combine for 3+ fumbles)
Buccaneers W (despite allowing an opening drive field goal, the Chiefs only gives up 200 yards of total offense)
at Broncos L (bad clock management and untimely turnover)
at Falcons W (defense finishes with 9+ sacks and 3+ turnovers)
Raiders W (nailbiter, Chiefs win by a field goal)
Titans L (bad clock management and untimely turnovers again)
Broncos W (at Arrowhead, Chiefs win by 2 scores)
at Chargers W (3 point victory in San Diego wins the West)
So far, we are right where I predicted. Hopefully, they can exceed my expectations going forward. Go Chiefs!
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