Can Chiefs not make the playoffs at 11-5?

chiefsfan1963 · 11-27-2005, 05:23 PM

I'm pretty sure that they probably won't make it if they drop to 10-6, but is there a chance that 11-5 may not get them in? Also is there a scenario that they can still make it at 10-6? Perhaps someone has done the calculations on this.

JBucc · 11-27-2005, 05:23 PM

I'd say there's a good chance at 11-5

**Rausch** · 11-27-2005, 05:24 PM

It's possible, but 11-5 is probably a gauranteed WC spot...

Deberg_1990 · 11-27-2005, 05:24 PM

Yes, there is a scenario out there that it may be possible. This is what happens when you have 4 division winners now and not 3. Damn NFL! A few years ago a team like the Pats wouldnt have made the playoffs going 9-7. They would have had Indy in that Division.

**cdcox** · 11-27-2005, 05:27 PM

Yeah there are some senarios where we don't make it at 11-5. It's more than 90% certain though, if we can get to 11-5.

**cdcox** · 11-27-2005, 05:28 PM

And it is still about 50% certain we can make it at 10-6, but those odds shrink everytime our WC rivals win a game.

Garcia Bronco · 11-27-2005, 05:29 PM

You guys need the Bengals, Broncos, Chargers, and Jax to start losing.

**Bowser** · 11-27-2005, 05:30 PM

If we're going to lose one, it has to be against either the Cowboys or the Giants. No more losses to AFC teams.

Hammock Parties · 11-27-2005, 05:30 PM

If we go 11-5, that means we'll probably beat Cincinatti. We'd get in over them unless they went 12-4.

Logical · 11-27-2005, 05:30 PM

Not very likely that would happen.

Deberg_1990 · 11-27-2005, 05:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Garcia Bronco

You guys need the Bengals, Broncos, Chargers, and Jax to start losing.

Well we play 3 of those teams so its all in our hands.

**Rausch** · 11-27-2005, 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Garcia Bronco

You guys need the Bengals, Broncos, Chargers, and Jax to start losing.

Broncs, Chargers, and Chiefs all have to play each other yet.

I'll bet the AFCW playoff picture isn't clear until after week 16.

Deberg_1990 · 11-27-2005, 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bowser

If we're going to lose one, it has to be against either the Cowboys or the Giants. No more losses to AFC teams.

With they way we play on the road its almost a given we will lose to the Cowpokes. IM sure the Giants game will be harder than it has to be.

chagrin · 11-27-2005, 05:37 PM

Hate to be Captain Obvious here but the key is division victories

chiefsfan1963 · 11-27-2005, 05:42 PM

So we lose next week to Denver, then win 4 straight then possibility is higher that we won't make it at 11-5? Interesting. I wonder what the percentage is of not getting in if we lose to Denver and win the rest?

11-27-2005, 05:23 PM
chiefsfan1963 Veteran Join Date: Oct 2001 Casino cash: $10005060	Can Chiefs not make the playoffs at 11-5? I'm pretty sure that they probably won't make it if they drop to 10-6, but is there a chance that 11-5 may not get them in? Also is there a scenario that they can still make it at 10-6? Perhaps someone has done the calculations on this.
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11-27-2005, 05:23 PM	#2
JBucc MVP Join Date: Oct 2005 Casino cash: $10004952	I'd say there's a good chance at 11-5
Posts: 12,016

11-27-2005, 05:24 PM	#4
Deberg_1990 In Search of a Life Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: San Antonio Tx. Casino cash: $3744454	Yes, there is a scenario out there that it may be possible. This is what happens when you have 4 division winners now and not 3. Damn NFL! A few years ago a team like the Pats wouldnt have made the playoffs going 9-7. They would have had Indy in that Division. __________________ Originally Posted by Cassel's Reckoning: Matt once made a very nice play in Seattle where he spun away from a pass rusher and hit Bowe off his back foot for a first down. One of the best plays Matt has ever made.
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11-27-2005, 05:27 PM	#5
cdcox www.nfl-forecast.com Join Date: Sep 2000 Casino cash: $2211769	Yeah there are some senarios where we don't make it at 11-5. It's more than 90% certain though, if we can get to 11-5.
Posts: 45,543

11-27-2005, 05:28 PM	#6
cdcox www.nfl-forecast.com Join Date: Sep 2000 Casino cash: $2211769	And it is still about 50% certain we can make it at 10-6, but those odds shrink everytime our WC rivals win a game.
Posts: 45,543

11-27-2005, 05:29 PM	#7
Garcia Bronco No Keys, No Problem Join Date: Sep 2000 Location: Denver Casino cash: $5043136	You guys need the Bengals, Broncos, Chargers, and Jax to start losing.
Posts: 30,960

11-27-2005, 05:30 PM	#8
Bowser sorta mod-ish Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: KC North Casino cash: $3201616	If we're going to lose one, it has to be against either the Cowboys or the Giants. No more losses to AFC teams.
Posts: 101,052

11-27-2005, 05:30 PM	#9
Hammock Parties I'll be back. Join Date: Nov 2002 Casino cash: $4440478	If we go 11-5, that means we'll probably beat Cincinatti. We'd get in over them unless they went 12-4. __________________ Chiefs game films
Posts: 278,660

11-27-2005, 05:30 PM	#10
Logical Screw U if U can't take a joke Join Date: Aug 2000 Casino cash: $10004900	Not very likely that would happen.
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11-27-2005, 05:37 PM	#14
chagrin Giggitty! Join Date: Apr 2005 Location: Missoula, Mt Casino cash: $9914905	Hate to be Captain Obvious here but the key is division victories __________________ Times have changed, so have I, things are better now.
Posts: 13,394

11-27-2005, 05:42 PM	#15
chiefsfan1963 Veteran Join Date: Oct 2001 Casino cash: $10005060	So we lose next week to Denver, then win 4 straight then possibility is higher that we won't make it at 11-5? Interesting. I wonder what the percentage is of not getting in if we lose to Denver and win the rest?
Posts: 1,948