|
|
08-05-2015, 01:00 PM | Topic Starter |
Cynical Misanthrope
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Alaska
Casino cash: $1261379
|
Can We Measure Alex Smith's Suckitude? Yes, we can!
Football Outsider's 2015 Analysis is now available. Excellent read as always. Chiefs are projected to get 7.9 wins. 34% chance of reaching post season. They spend a good portion of the article talking about how bad Smith is and how his wins are a very poor metric of how good he is as a QB. 1 of many money quotes:
Third down is where Smith’s conservatism may hurt his teams the most. Since 2011, Smith has taken the most third- down sacks (69) and has the worst sack rate (13.4 percent) among quarterbacks with at least 200 third-down passes. And when he’s not pulling the trigger, he’s firing too short. In 2014, Smith’s average third-down pass was thrown 2.3 yards short of the first-down marker, the shortest average in the league when compared to the needed yards for a first down. Aaron Rodgers had the longest average pass at 4.0 yards beyond the first-down marker. More than any quarterback in the league, Smith relies on his receivers to break tackles and gain yards after the catch to convert on third down. This metric is called Air Minus Need Differential (AMND). The average starting quarterback has an AMND of plus-1.4 since 2011. Smith’s minus-1.7 AMND is the lowest since 2011 among players with at least 300 attempts (Figure 2, next page). It’s as if Smith is playing a different sport than his peers. Ah well. We can take comfort that we have Donald Stephenson as a starting tackle. Don't forget: he was the player taken one pick before Russell Wilson. |
Posts: 3,943
|
08-05-2015, 01:04 PM | #2 |
Sarcasm
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Olathe
Casino cash: $4592900
|
If we get 8 wins then blow the whole ****ing thing up again and ****ing draft a QB. There's no other excuse for this team to win less than 9 games.
|
Posts: 21,141
|
08-05-2015, 01:52 PM | #3 |
Most Valuable Villain
Join Date: Dec 2006
Casino cash: $2745047
|
|
Posts: 92,303
|
08-05-2015, 02:08 PM | #4 |
Space Cadet and Aczabel
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Kanab, UT, USA
Casino cash: $9333275
VARSITY
|
I've got my car warmed up.
__________________
Thanks, Trump for the civics lesson. We are learning so much about RICO, espionage, sedition, impeachment, the 25th Amendment, order of succession, nepotism, separation of powers, 1st Amendment, obstruction of justice, the emoluments clause, conflicts of interest, collusion, sanctions, oligarchs, money laundering and so much more. |
Posts: 40,584
|
08-05-2015, 02:10 PM | #5 |
Sarcasm
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Olathe
Casino cash: $4592900
|
I guess that's what I meant, I was just frustrated by the FO article. But the point would obviously be to find a better QB than Alex Smith. Which means drafting one. Which means possible growing pains for a year, or two. Unfortunately for every Wilson and Roethlisberger there's a Brees and Eli Manning.
|
Posts: 21,141
|
08-05-2015, 02:13 PM | #6 | |
XBOX GT MAVS ACE
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Wisconsin
Casino cash: $10019303
|
Quote:
I'm lost. There are 7 Super Bowl rings between those qb's. Who are the bad ones?
__________________
Resident Browns fan I’m not here to argue about Alex Smith. Fastest Ignore user on CP |
|
Posts: 18,683
|
08-05-2015, 02:16 PM | #7 |
Sarcasm
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Olathe
Casino cash: $4592900
|
|
Posts: 21,141
|
08-05-2015, 06:29 PM | #8 |
hoc impetu faciendo non stabit
Join Date: May 2013
Location: Los Angeles, California
Casino cash: $4639675
|
|
Posts: 38,309
|
08-05-2015, 03:39 PM | #9 |
"You like to drink?"
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: "I like to drink."
Casino cash: $2896869
|
Smith isn't going anywhere until the 2017 season is completed.
Better hope they draft a QB high next season.. But let's get real here, they're going to have to take a LT.
__________________
Chiefs 2016 Opponents: Home: JAX, TEN, NO, TB, NYJ. Away: HOU, IND, ATL, CAR, PIT Chiefs 2017 Opponents: Home: BUF, MIA, PHI, WSH, AFC North. Away: NE, NYJ, NYG, DAL, AFC South |
Posts: 42,931
|
08-06-2015, 12:16 AM | #10 |
Abolish The Salary Cap!
Join Date: Mar 2008
Casino cash: $3858675
|
|
Posts: 19,807
|
08-06-2015, 12:21 AM | #11 |
Broncos' Fan Extraordinaire!
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Denver
Casino cash: $10012184
|
good luck with that... he's your QB for another couple of years.
__________________
ORANGE COLORED GLASSES ARE ALWAYS ON! |
Posts: 6,151
|
08-06-2015, 12:30 AM | #12 |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2012
Casino cash: $5845267
|
And Denver's QB after this 9-7 season is? Fox wasn't your problem..the problem is that the whole team's emotional well-being was contingent on Manning being in control. Whenever he tanked your entire team tanked..like in the SB. It was the same shit in Indy..
|
Posts: 17,754
|
08-06-2015, 08:11 AM | #13 |
Broncos' Fan Extraordinaire!
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Denver
Casino cash: $10012184
|
using your crystal ball again I see... tell me this, o great one, when will Alex Smith throw his first TD pass to a WR?
__________________
ORANGE COLORED GLASSES ARE ALWAYS ON! |
Posts: 6,151
|
08-06-2015, 07:10 AM | #14 | |
Can't Use That Disney Ass Name
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Charleston, SC
Casino cash: $10015211
|
I wish he wasn't but it's not Matt Cassel. So I can handle it while we look for a QB.
__________________
Quote:
|
|
Posts: 23,919
|
08-06-2015, 07:58 AM | #15 | |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
Casino cash: $1400308
|
Quote:
Let me know when that happens.
__________________
"You gotta love livin', cause dying is a pain in the ass." ---- Sinatra |
|
Posts: 21,166
|
|
|