If we pass on him, how far will Geno fall?

[Frankie]

Originally Posted by htismaqe

It better involve more than that.

To trade from 6 to 2 last year, the Rams got:

1) a swap of 1st rounders
2) a 2nd rounder
3) TWO future 1st round picks

If you go strictly on history, next year's 1st rounder is worth a 2nd rounder this year. And a 2015 1st is worth a 3rd, which is about what Foles would likely bring.

So we better get the Eagles' 4th overall, a 2nd rounder this year, Foles, AND a FIRST ROUNDER next year.

Well, I figured last year was special due to the two future elite QBs sitting at the top of the draft. That kind of compensation won't happen this year.

I actually went by this year's NFL draft value chart. (http://walterfootball.com/draftchart.php). Our 1st pick is worth 3000 points. theirs, 1800 points. AT best, though somewhat unlikely) they can command a mid to late 2nd rounder for Foles. Say around 400 points. their 2nd round pic is worth in the neighborhood of 540. So they will be giving us back 940 +/- instead of the 1200 difference. If they are in love with Smith and Reid is in love with Foles, I think both parties will disregard the remaining 260 points.

I admit, this is actually making it very favorable to the Eagles. So if they throw in their 3rd rounder as well (250ish) this deal will be a definite go IMO.

So I guess I adjust my prediction to this to be fair to everybody:

Chiefs 1st <===> Eagles 1st + 2nd + 3rd + Foles