Top 10 Offense?

[Ace Gunner]

Originally Posted by MagicHef

Here's his completion percentage vs attempts for the last 2 years. Tell me what happens when Reid asks him to throw 56 times.

if Reid has Alex Smith throwing 50 passes a game, which he won't, you have to consider the offensive scheme in order to project numbers -- the type of WCO Reid runs is high percentage passing and it gets the ball out quickly a lot of times.

Jamaal Charles will be the primary offensive weapon again this season.

[Coogs]

Originally Posted by BossChief

In 2012, Alex had 3 games where he attempted 30+ passes.
He completed 65%, 69% and 63% comp%.

In 2011, he had 8 games with 30+ attempts.

67
64
53
63
53
49
58
67

So, out of 11 games the last season and a half with 30+ attempts, he has only had 4 with less than 60% completions and somehow hef figures it at barely 50%.

That's some donkey math

He said he was using his whole career. That in itself makes no sense, and Smith appears to have turned things around the last couple of years. Pretty much right at the point in their careers most of the resident QB guru's say is the make or break point for young QB's.

[BossChief]

There are only 2 games where he completed less than 50% of his passes and only 9 where he completed less than 60%. 16 where he was above 60% and 8 above 70%.

Your 50-54% stuff is pure donk nonsense.

[MagicHef]

Originally Posted by BossChief

There are only 2 games where he completed less than 50% of his passes and only 9 where he completed less than 60%. 16 where he was above 60% and 8 above 70%.

Your 50-54% stuff is pure donk nonsense.

He also has zero games above 57% where he threw more than 35 times.

[BossChief]

Originally Posted by MagicHef

He also has zero games above 57% where he threw more than 35 times.

I don't like Alex Smith, but I would be willing to bet that changes this year.

Care to make a wager?

[Baby Lee]

Originally Posted by MagicHef

He also has zero games above 57% where he threw more than 35 times.

Those three games?

[MagicHef]

Originally Posted by BossChief

I don't like Alex Smith, but I would be willing to bet that changes this year.

Care to make a wager?

I'm open to bets, but that one seems a bit odd.

Originally Posted by Baby Lee

Those three games?

Yes

[beach tribe]

I got a neutral rep from knowmo going off about how Charles is no Westbrook.

Well, he's right.

Charles has infinitely more potential.
He is a Home Run threat every time he touches the
ball.
And he's about to get it........in space.........a lot.

[BossChief]

I'd also like to point out that JHs offense isnt very similar to what Reid runs.

JHs offense has a lot of designed runs and play action. Reid is a lot more WCO where those designed runs are turned into swing passes, screens and dump offs.

I expect Alexs % to hover around 65% on the year while his ypa drops about a half yard.

550-575 passes
65%
7.6 ypa
2:1+ td:int ratio

[Coogs]

Originally Posted by BossChief

I'd also like to point out that JHs offense isnt very similar to what Reid runs.

JHs offense has a lot of designed runs and play action. Reid is a lot more WCO where those designed runs are turned into swing passes, screens and dump offs.

I expect Alexs % to hover around 65% on the year while his ypa drops about a half yard.

550-575 passes
65%
7.6 ypa
2:1+ td:int ratio

I'll go with that, except I expect the TD:INT ratio to be 2+:1 instead of 2:1+

[BossChief]

Originally Posted by Coogs

I'll go with that, except I expect the TD:INT ratio to be 2+:1 instead of 2:1+

That's actually what I meant by that.

[Coogs]

Originally Posted by BossChief

That's actually what I meant by that.

[Garcia Bronco]

Chiefs game will be more chess match than it ever has in the past half decade. I think it's possible as well. Definitely top 15.

[BossChief]

Originally Posted by Garcia Bronco

Chiefs game will be more chess match than it ever has in the past half decade. I think it's possible as well. Definitely top 15.

I think the expectation level should be an average offense. 10-20 range.

[BigMeatballDave]

Stupid donkey bullshit.