Royals *** Official Royals Repository, Part 3 *** - Page 171

duncan_idaho · 07-14-2015, 11:05 PM

In this thread: All things related to the AL Champions.

Duncan's Official Team Record prediction: 90 wins
One month in: Looking strong
All Star Break: Looking strong, probably should adjust up to 93-94 wins.
Duncan's Official Team MVP prediction: Eric Hosmer
One month in: Upstaged by his best friend MIKE MOOTACOS, MAN. Tell us bout your hittin, bro!
All Star Break: Lorenzo Cain starting to run away with this one.

Division Preview
Clearly, overlooking the Twins was a mistake at this point. I still don't believe in that team long-term, but they're starting to get that Magic Season twinkle about them.

Detroit is toast. Garbage rotation beyond Price and Sanchez, Miggy out.

And Cleveland... Cleveland still is dangerous if it ever clicks offensively, because the starting pitching is good enough for them to real off a 15-5 stretch and get right back into the playoff picture.

The Royals will be a division winner IF ...
1) Ventura and Duffy combine for 375+ innings of high-quality work
2) Eric Hosmer delivers on his potential with a FULL season of success rather than bursts
3) The deeper bullpen lessens the critical load on Herrera, Davis and Holland
4) Lorenzo Cain stays healthy
5) Either Alex Rios or Kendrys Morales bounces back to 2013 form

The first of these is clearly not going to happen. The second looked good through the end of May but is now eating Cain's dust (Hosmer has still been improved this year, though, lessening his valley. If he has a really hot second half, he can get right back in it). Item three is definitely the case. Item four should probably be first at this point. And Morales has more than bounced back.

Duncan’s Top 20 for mid-season 2015:

Spoiler!

1. Raul Adalberto Mondesi, SS, BOTH: Tools, tools, tools. RA has tools galore. At his best, he’s an All-Star SS who plays elite D, hits 15-20 HR, swipes 40 bags, and is an ideal 1, 2 or 3 hitter. At his worst, I think he looks a lot like Alcides Escobar. Plate discipline is his biggest challenge at this point, but evaluators are confident that will come with time. Clear No. 1
2. Sean Manaea, LHP: I still believe in the upside here, even with the abbreviated start. 6-5 lefties with his combination of stuff and deception have the ability to pitch at the front of a rotation for a long time.
3. Kyle Zimmer, RHP: He’s pitching again and staying healthy, which is nice. He’s pitcing out of the bullpen to build back his arm strength, which is less nice. But still has that high upside, just a lower floor now. Ideally, the team will use him as a bullpen weapon in September (because he has earned it) and then give him a chance to transition back to starting for 2016.
4. Miguel Almonte, RHP: Still love the body, FB/CH combo. Results aren’t eye popping, but he’s still low enough and early enough in the development to prize those things over performance. Still a solid No. 3 starter upside, and just a year and some change away from potentially being ready to contribute at the MLB level.
5. Cody Reed, LHP: Reed has popped up this year, forcing an early promotion to Northwest Arkansas. His stuff is legit, with mid-90s heat and a wipeout slider. Control still needs work, but a promising young arm (that makes Almonte much more tradeable)
6. John Lamb, LHP: Lamb has had a career resurgence in 2015, putting him back on the prospect map. He’s dominating at AAA and will be in the rotation mix in 2016, unless he suffers another setback. Fastball is back, changeup is improving, still working on the ability to throw the slider and curve for strikes when down in the count.
7. Jorge Bonifacio, RF, RH: Emilio’s little brother got off to a horrible start in 2015 but has heated up as the season went on. He also is translating BP power to game power for the first time, with 15 HR just past the mid-way point of his season. Despite his disappointing 2014, he has a chance to build his way back into legit prospect status – and still is only 22. Next challenge for him should be Omaha, but that may wait for the start of the 2014 season.
8. Scott Blewett, RHP: Blewett has a nice two –pitch mix already and is off to a strong start. With his size (6-6) and a good fastball/curveball combo, Blewett could eventually turn into a good No. 3 starter, with a MLB-average changeup.
9. Nolan Watson, RHP: The Royals’ 2015 sandwich pick is a polished prep arm who is adding velocity and explosiveness to a good, polished base. Likely to move quickly.
10. Ashe Russell, RHP: The 2015 top pick probably needs more work than Watson, but the upside is really nice. Again, advanced two-pitch mix that will depend on him adding a changeup. Could be a very good NO. 2 if it all adds up.

Spoiler!

11. Bubba Starling, CF, RH: Starling has been up and down this year but put himself back on the map by greatly improving his K rate while also improving across the slash line as a hitter. His defense and baserunning are MLB ready; if Starling can work himself into a league average hitter, he can be a solid MLB regular who plays great D in CF while hitting 15 HR and swiping 20 bags.
12. Balbino Fuenmayor, 1B/DH, RH: The Balbino came out of basically nowhere in 2015 to earn a Futures Game spot. Big power and an improved two-strike approach have turned the late bloomer into a legit prospect. He’s blocked at the MLB level currently by Eric Hosmer and Kendrys Morales, but Fuenmayor’s combination of power hitting and good average/strike zone control makes him intriguing.
13. Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, RH: Cheslor probably is not going to be the star KC was hoping for when signing him out of Nicaragua, but he does look like he can be a solid reserve for an MLB club. Good defense at 3B paired with a solid plate approach and some gap power plays fine off the bench. He becomes a lot more interesting if they think he can stick as a 2B, which they have experimented with.
14. Chase Vallot, C/DH/1B: I really like Vallot’s power and plate discipline combo. His bat will probably force him from behind the plate, but he’s held his own despite being extremely young for every level he has faced.
15. Alfredo Escalera-Maldonado, OF, RH: Escalera-Maldonado earned a promotion to Wilmington at age 20, which is pretty advanced movement for that age. He’s an athletic outfielder who has shown some plate discipline at an early age, which is encouraging. Doesn’t sound like he can stick in CF long term for KC, but his bat has become one to watch.
16. Pedro Fernandez, RHP: I haven’t seen much of him, but like the reports I’ve heard on his fastball and general makeup. Could become the next Almonte/Mondesi, though he’s more likely to land in the pen than either of them.
17. Elier Hernandez, OF, RH: Elier Hernanez teamed with Escalera-Maldonado in breaking out at Low-A and earning a promotion to Wilmington. It’s still early for this guy – he is just 20 years old – but he doesn’t take walks and hasn’t developed the prodigious power many thought he had the potential for. Still worth watching.
18. Hunter Dozier, 3B, RH: Dozier is reworking his swing mid-season, which generally will cause production to do what his has done: Nose dive. The changes he made entering the season (seemingly geared towards increasing his power production) were a disaster, and now he’s trying to get back to what he used to be. Still looks great and checks most of the scouting boxes, but the performance hasn’t matched, and it almost knocked him out of the list.
19. Christian Binford, RHP: After a breakthrough 2014, Binford struggled mightily at AAA and suffered a demotion. His upside remains similar – a back-end starter who can eat innings – but Binford’s lack of velocity and reliance on command have caught up to him so far.
20. Marten Gasparini, OF, SH: Gasparini is intriguing because of his speed and athleticism. He’s a LOOOOONG ways from the majors and young for his level, but reports on his bat speed, swing, and speed remain positive enough to keep him on the bubble.

C3HIEF3S · 07-27-2015, 10:52 PM

Damn.

Tulowitzki will receive a $2M assignment bonus for being traded and his contract converts to include full no-trade clause from here on out.
— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) July 28, 2015

Also:

Source: LaTroy Hawkins going with Tulo to #BlueJays.
— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) July 28, 2015

Deal as we know it right now: Tulo and LaTroy Hawkins to #BlueJays for Jose Reyes and minor leaguers. Do not know financial terms, if any.
— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) July 28, 2015

duncan_idaho · 07-27-2015, 10:53 PM

Jesus H. Christ, that Blue Jays lineup is stacked with power now. Not even sure how to line that up.

I guess I would go:

Travis
Donaldson
Bautista
Tulo
Encarnacion
Martin
Smoak
Colabello
Pillar

That's stupid.

Guess at cost:

Reyes + Daniel Norris (RIP your career, kid) + Dalton Pompey + Sean Reid-Foley.

tk13 · 07-27-2015, 10:54 PM

Yeah I was about to post their lineup. I wonder if they might say screw it and just lead off with Tulo.

Tulo/Donaldson/Bautista/Encarnacion. Doesn't get much better than that. That's like a late 90's steroid era lineup.

okcchief · 07-27-2015, 10:55 PM

It'll be interesting to see Cueto against that jacked up offense. I would think the Blue Jays have another pitching move or 2 coming or WTF are they doing?

C3HIEF3S · 07-27-2015, 10:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho

Jesus H. Christ, that Blue Jays lineup is stacked with power now. Not even sure how to line that up.

I guess I would go:

Travis
Donaldson
Bautista
Tulo
Encarnacion
Martin
Smoak
Colabello
Pillar

That's stupid.

Guess at cost:

Reyes + Daniel Norris (RIP your career, kid) + Dalton Pompey + Sean Reid-Foley.

I hope Cueto has his strikeout pitch working this weekend..

KevB · 07-27-2015, 10:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho

Jesus H. Christ, that Blue Jays lineup is stacked with power now. Not even sure how to line that up.

I guess I would go:

Travis
Donaldson
Bautista
Tulo
Encarnacion
Martin
Smoak
Colabello
Pillar

That's stupid.

Guess at cost:

Reyes + Daniel Norris (RIP your career, kid) + Dalton Pompey + Sean Reid-Foley.

That's a scary lineup, good lord. That 2-6 will be a wtf for every opposing pitcher as they prepare for their next start.

cosmo20002 · 07-27-2015, 10:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KChiefs1

The 1980 team should have won at least 105 games but they were bad in September.

Brett also missed like 40 games.

duncan_idaho · 07-27-2015, 10:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tk13

Yeah I was about to post their lineup. I wonder if they might say screw it and just lead off with Tulo.

Tulo/Donaldson/Bautista/Encarnacion. Doesn't get much better than that. That's like a late 90's steroid era lineup.

Yeah. Travis and Donaldson are both speedy OBP/SLG combo guys, so hitting them 1-2 is a pretty great start to things. Following that with some combination of Tulo, Bautista, Encarnacion and Russell Martin... wow.

C3HIEF3S · 07-27-2015, 10:58 PM

If Guthrie is pitching in the Toronto series we may just want to not waste our time watching that one

KChiefs1 · 07-27-2015, 11:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by C3HIEF3S

If Guthrie is pitching in the Toronto series we may just want to not waste our time watching that one

I think he pitches Wednesday.

KCCHIEFS27 · 07-27-2015, 11:00 PM

Nothing to be worried about.

KevB · 07-27-2015, 11:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by C3HIEF3S

If Guthrie is pitching in the Toronto series we may just want to not waste our time watching that one

Jays pitching will be happy to give up runs of their own. But yeah, that game could be 12-10

Hootie · 07-27-2015, 11:08 PM

I'm not afraid of the Jays lineup at all. Tulo has always been streaky and doesn't get the Coors boost anymore ... Plus he's a lock for 2 DL stints per year. The Yankees went down this route before. Super offenses don't work and don't win anything important. Great pitching always beats great hitting

Hootie · 07-27-2015, 11:09 PM

I'll tell you what ... Yesterday I picked Toronto as the 2nd wild card. Today? I predict a collapse

Hootie · 07-27-2015, 11:14 PM

The angels and Orioles both had fantastic offenses last year and what happened to them when it cooled down and October rolled around? Pitching and defense wins postseason baseball. Not a lineup full of HR hitters. Now, Tulo absolutely is a better defensive SS than Reyes. It's an upgrade, but scares me very little

07-14-2015, 11:05 PM
duncan_idaho M-I-Z-Z-O-U Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Kansas City Casino cash: $-1979692	* Official Royals Repository, Part 3 * In this thread: All things related to the AL Champions. Duncan's Official Team Record prediction: 90 wins One month in: Looking strong All Star Break: Looking strong, probably should adjust up to 93-94 wins. Duncan's Official Team MVP prediction: Eric Hosmer One month in: Upstaged by his best friend MIKE MOOTACOS, MAN. Tell us bout your hittin, bro! All Star Break: Lorenzo Cain starting to run away with this one. Division Preview Clearly, overlooking the Twins was a mistake at this point. I still don't believe in that team long-term, but they're starting to get that Magic Season twinkle about them. Detroit is toast. Garbage rotation beyond Price and Sanchez, Miggy out. And Cleveland... Cleveland still is dangerous if it ever clicks offensively, because the starting pitching is good enough for them to real off a 15-5 stretch and get right back into the playoff picture. The Royals will be a division winner IF ... 1) Ventura and Duffy combine for 375+ innings of high-quality work 2) Eric Hosmer delivers on his potential with a FULL season of success rather than bursts 3) The deeper bullpen lessens the critical load on Herrera, Davis and Holland 4) Lorenzo Cain stays healthy 5) Either Alex Rios or Kendrys Morales bounces back to 2013 form The first of these is clearly not going to happen. The second looked good through the end of May but is now eating Cain's dust (Hosmer has still been improved this year, though, lessening his valley. If he has a really hot second half, he can get right back in it). Item three is definitely the case. Item four should probably be first at this point. And Morales has more than bounced back. Duncan’s Top 20 for mid-season 2015: Spoiler! 1. Raul Adalberto Mondesi, SS, BOTH: Tools, tools, tools. RA has tools galore. At his best, he’s an All-Star SS who plays elite D, hits 15-20 HR, swipes 40 bags, and is an ideal 1, 2 or 3 hitter. At his worst, I think he looks a lot like Alcides Escobar. Plate discipline is his biggest challenge at this point, but evaluators are confident that will come with time. Clear No. 1 2. Sean Manaea, LHP: I still believe in the upside here, even with the abbreviated start. 6-5 lefties with his combination of stuff and deception have the ability to pitch at the front of a rotation for a long time. 3. Kyle Zimmer, RHP: He’s pitching again and staying healthy, which is nice. He’s pitcing out of the bullpen to build back his arm strength, which is less nice. But still has that high upside, just a lower floor now. Ideally, the team will use him as a bullpen weapon in September (because he has earned it) and then give him a chance to transition back to starting for 2016. 4. Miguel Almonte, RHP: Still love the body, FB/CH combo. Results aren’t eye popping, but he’s still low enough and early enough in the development to prize those things over performance. Still a solid No. 3 starter upside, and just a year and some change away from potentially being ready to contribute at the MLB level. 5. Cody Reed, LHP: Reed has popped up this year, forcing an early promotion to Northwest Arkansas. His stuff is legit, with mid-90s heat and a wipeout slider. Control still needs work, but a promising young arm (that makes Almonte much more tradeable) 6. John Lamb, LHP: Lamb has had a career resurgence in 2015, putting him back on the prospect map. He’s dominating at AAA and will be in the rotation mix in 2016, unless he suffers another setback. Fastball is back, changeup is improving, still working on the ability to throw the slider and curve for strikes when down in the count. 7. Jorge Bonifacio, RF, RH: Emilio’s little brother got off to a horrible start in 2015 but has heated up as the season went on. He also is translating BP power to game power for the first time, with 15 HR just past the mid-way point of his season. Despite his disappointing 2014, he has a chance to build his way back into legit prospect status – and still is only 22. Next challenge for him should be Omaha, but that may wait for the start of the 2014 season. 8. Scott Blewett, RHP: Blewett has a nice two –pitch mix already and is off to a strong start. With his size (6-6) and a good fastball/curveball combo, Blewett could eventually turn into a good No. 3 starter, with a MLB-average changeup. 9. Nolan Watson, RHP: The Royals’ 2015 sandwich pick is a polished prep arm who is adding velocity and explosiveness to a good, polished base. Likely to move quickly. 10. Ashe Russell, RHP: The 2015 top pick probably needs more work than Watson, but the upside is really nice. Again, advanced two-pitch mix that will depend on him adding a changeup. Could be a very good NO. 2 if it all adds up. Spoiler! 11. Bubba Starling, CF, RH: Starling has been up and down this year but put himself back on the map by greatly improving his K rate while also improving across the slash line as a hitter. His defense and baserunning are MLB ready; if Starling can work himself into a league average hitter, he can be a solid MLB regular who plays great D in CF while hitting 15 HR and swiping 20 bags. 12. Balbino Fuenmayor, 1B/DH, RH: The Balbino came out of basically nowhere in 2015 to earn a Futures Game spot. Big power and an improved two-strike approach have turned the late bloomer into a legit prospect. He’s blocked at the MLB level currently by Eric Hosmer and Kendrys Morales, but Fuenmayor’s combination of power hitting and good average/strike zone control makes him intriguing. 13. Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, RH: Cheslor probably is not going to be the star KC was hoping for when signing him out of Nicaragua, but he does look like he can be a solid reserve for an MLB club. Good defense at 3B paired with a solid plate approach and some gap power plays fine off the bench. He becomes a lot more interesting if they think he can stick as a 2B, which they have experimented with. 14. Chase Vallot, C/DH/1B: I really like Vallot’s power and plate discipline combo. His bat will probably force him from behind the plate, but he’s held his own despite being extremely young for every level he has faced. 15. Alfredo Escalera-Maldonado, OF, RH: Escalera-Maldonado earned a promotion to Wilmington at age 20, which is pretty advanced movement for that age. He’s an athletic outfielder who has shown some plate discipline at an early age, which is encouraging. Doesn’t sound like he can stick in CF long term for KC, but his bat has become one to watch. 16. Pedro Fernandez, RHP: I haven’t seen much of him, but like the reports I’ve heard on his fastball and general makeup. Could become the next Almonte/Mondesi, though he’s more likely to land in the pen than either of them. 17. Elier Hernandez, OF, RH: Elier Hernanez teamed with Escalera-Maldonado in breaking out at Low-A and earning a promotion to Wilmington. It’s still early for this guy – he is just 20 years old – but he doesn’t take walks and hasn’t developed the prodigious power many thought he had the potential for. Still worth watching. 18. Hunter Dozier, 3B, RH: Dozier is reworking his swing mid-season, which generally will cause production to do what his has done: Nose dive. The changes he made entering the season (seemingly geared towards increasing his power production) were a disaster, and now he’s trying to get back to what he used to be. Still looks great and checks most of the scouting boxes, but the performance hasn’t matched, and it almost knocked him out of the list. 19. Christian Binford, RHP: After a breakthrough 2014, Binford struggled mightily at AAA and suffered a demotion. His upside remains similar – a back-end starter who can eat innings – but Binford’s lack of velocity and reliance on command have caught up to him so far. 20. Marten Gasparini, OF, SH: Gasparini is intriguing because of his speed and athleticism. He’s a LOOOOONG ways from the majors and young for his level, but reports on his bat speed, swing, and speed remain positive enough to keep him on the bubble.
Posts: 22,388

07-27-2015, 10:52 PM	#2551
C3HIEF3S Let's Get Weird Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: Austin Casino cash: $9910098	Damn. Tulowitzki will receive a $2M assignment bonus for being traded and his contract converts to include full no-trade clause from here on out. — Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) July 28, 2015 Also: Source: LaTroy Hawkins going with Tulo to #BlueJays. — Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) July 28, 2015 Deal as we know it right now: Tulo and LaTroy Hawkins to #BlueJays for Jose Reyes and minor leaguers. Do not know financial terms, if any. — Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) July 28, 2015
Posts: 15,232

07-27-2015, 10:53 PM	#2552
duncan_idaho M-I-Z-Z-O-U Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Kansas City Casino cash: $-1979692	Jesus H. Christ, that Blue Jays lineup is stacked with power now. Not even sure how to line that up. I guess I would go: Travis Donaldson Bautista Tulo Encarnacion Martin Smoak Colabello Pillar That's stupid. Guess at cost: Reyes + Daniel Norris (RIP your career, kid) + Dalton Pompey + Sean Reid-Foley. __________________ "You gotta love livin', cause dying is a pain in the ass." ---- Sinatra
Posts: 22,388

07-27-2015, 10:54 PM	#2553
tk13 ... Join Date: Nov 2001 Casino cash: $-1747500	Yeah I was about to post their lineup. I wonder if they might say screw it and just lead off with Tulo. Tulo/Donaldson/Bautista/Encarnacion. Doesn't get much better than that. That's like a late 90's steroid era lineup.
Posts: 56,651

07-27-2015, 10:55 PM	#2554
okcchief MVP Join Date: Jul 2008 Casino cash: $9849890	It'll be interesting to see Cueto against that jacked up offense. I would think the Blue Jays have another pitching move or 2 coming or WTF are they doing?
Posts: 6,703

07-27-2015, 10:58 PM	#2559
C3HIEF3S Let's Get Weird Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: Austin Casino cash: $9910098	If Guthrie is pitching in the Toronto series we may just want to not waste our time watching that one
Posts: 15,232

07-27-2015, 11:00 PM	#2561
KCCHIEFS27 Veteran Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: KS Casino cash: $10019064	Nothing to be worried about.
Posts: 3,088

07-27-2015, 11:08 PM	#2563
Hootie Banned Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Dallas, Texas Casino cash: $10004900	I'm not afraid of the Jays lineup at all. Tulo has always been streaky and doesn't get the Coors boost anymore ... Plus he's a lock for 2 DL stints per year. The Yankees went down this route before. Super offenses don't work and don't win anything important. Great pitching always beats great hitting
Posts: 56,356

07-27-2015, 11:09 PM	#2564
Hootie Banned Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Dallas, Texas Casino cash: $10004900	I'll tell you what ... Yesterday I picked Toronto as the 2nd wild card. Today? I predict a collapse
Posts: 56,356

07-27-2015, 11:14 PM	#2565
Hootie Banned Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Dallas, Texas Casino cash: $10004900	The angels and Orioles both had fantastic offenses last year and what happened to them when it cooled down and October rolled around? Pitching and defense wins postseason baseball. Not a lineup full of HR hitters. Now, Tulo absolutely is a better defensive SS than Reyes. It's an upgrade, but scares me very little
Posts: 56,356