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Old 01-09-2017, 08:26 PM  
Chromatic Chromatic is offline
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Any thoughts on the potential ice storm this weekend?
This site seems to predict chaos and 2 inches of ice but I hope it's wrong.

https://www.facebook.com/WxSynopsis/...type=3&theater

Hope it's just a few flurries.

Quote:
I am very concerned when looking at the 12z EURO run from earlier today. Honestly I never seen max values being outputted on the EURO model before for Ice, so this is new to me. To say im concerned is an understatement. For anyone who understands icestorms and just how much can cause widespread impacts, all it takes is just .25 for power outages. If theres .50-.75 you are dealing with prolonged impacts, trees downed and extensive damage to power lines. Between 1.00-1.50 entire power grids become damaged. Widespread damage to trees. Roads impassable for days if not weeks. 1.50-2.00 power grids not only shut down but substations become damaged from the weight of ice accumulations building on transformers and pylons. Hard to imagine ice accumulating over 2inches. Once you get into these extreme values this is what you call a "catastrophic ice storm". Power grids can become damaged and take months to be fully repaired. So there is big time worries for central Oklahoma up to Ohio. We will be monitoring this potential and update when warranted. Anything can change, and if there is one forecast that I hope to god does not verify, this is the one.
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Old 01-13-2017, 08:49 AM   #586
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The national weather service, which is about the only weather I pay attention to, hasn't budged on their forecast. If anything, it's gotten worse in the past few days.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...6#.WHjo2hsrI2w
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Old 01-13-2017, 08:53 AM   #587
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I think it's pretty clear at this point that we are going to get enough ice to make driving a bit sketchy and hazardous at the least to the point that you will need to drive slowly and carefully and probably not leave the house if you don't need to. Whether or not we get enough so that this leads to broken trees, power outages, and completely undrivable conditions seems to be the main question.
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Old 01-13-2017, 08:54 AM   #588
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaFace View Post
The national weather service, which is about the only weather I pay attention to, hasn't budged on their forecast.
Yup, me too. If you can't trust the government, who can you trust?
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Old 01-13-2017, 08:55 AM   #589
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaFace View Post
The national weather service, which is about the only weather I pay attention to, hasn't budged on their forecast. If anything, it's gotten worse in the past few days.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...6#.WHjo2hsrI2w
doesn't the NWS have more to lose if they change it for the better and is wrong? I'm inclined to believe NWS as well but am hoping Lezak is right.
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Old 01-13-2017, 08:56 AM   #590
Mr_Tomahawk Mr_Tomahawk is offline
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Originally Posted by Snica View Post
doesn't the NWS have more to lose if they change it for the better and is wrong? I'm inclined to believe NWS as well but am hoping Lezak is right.
Exactly.

Lezak has some skin in the game.
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Old 01-13-2017, 09:05 AM   #591
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Originally Posted by Snica View Post
doesn't the NWS have more to lose if they change it for the better and is wrong? I'm inclined to believe NWS as well but am hoping Lezak is right.
There's not much "they" to NWS point forecasts. It's a constantly updating set of computer models.
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Old 01-13-2017, 09:08 AM   #592
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaFace View Post
The national weather service, which is about the only weather I pay attention to, hasn't budged on their forecast. If anything, it's gotten worse in the past few days.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...6#.WHjo2hsrI2w

They posted on FB that they are backing off on the amounts for KC:

Freezing rain/drizzle has developed across southern Missouri this morning and should expand north throughout the day. Hazardous travel conditions are possible for areas south of Highway 36 today, particularly during the evening commute. While we have trended ice totals back slightly through Sunday, the same impacts previously mentioned remain possible as a little ice goes a long way. We will provide updates here throughout the weekend to ensure you're kept up to date on the latest as the event unfolds.
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Old 01-13-2017, 09:21 AM   #593
Reerun_KC Reerun_KC is offline
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Icemehgerrdon in Oklahoma has so far been a huge flop...

As expected with all of these doomsday forcasts...
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Old 01-13-2017, 09:33 AM   #594
Snica Snica is offline
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Thousands of Chiefs fans are going to be pissed they gave up their tickets if this turns into a non-event.
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Old 01-13-2017, 09:36 AM   #595
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Originally Posted by Reerun_KC View Post
Icemehgerrdon in Oklahoma has so far been a huge flop...

As expected with all of these doomsday forcasts...
Its raining in Joplin and doesn't look like its going to ever get cold enough for roads to freeze over.

It was 72 degrees here Wednesday and has been warm all week its going to take some time for the ground to get cold enough to ice over and it doesn't look to be cold long enough for that to happen.

I hope the same goes for KC.
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Old 01-13-2017, 09:42 AM   #596
Reerun_KC Reerun_KC is offline
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Its raining in Joplin and doesn't look like its going to ever get cold enough for roads to freeze over.

It was 72 degrees here Wednesday and has been warm all week its going to take some time for the ground to get cold enough to ice over and it doesn't look to be cold long enough for that to happen.

I hope the same goes for KC.
Same here. The ground temp is too warm for anything to stick around here. Oh and we went from .75 to 1.25 here last night with chance of certain death to a trace to .25 if lucky...

Sensationalism drives ratings...
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Old 01-13-2017, 09:48 AM   #597
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The NFL doesn't give a Rat's Ass about the safety of the fans. NBC has paid a boat load of doe for that game at Noon Sunday, and as long as the players are there, they will play at Noon Sunday. If you can't make it to the ice rink, that's your problem. Clark already has your money.
I don't fault the NFL. You know the risk as a fan. Either go or don't go. Up to you.
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Old 01-13-2017, 09:52 AM   #598
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Originally Posted by Reerun_KC View Post
Same here. The ground temp is too warm for anything to stick around here. Oh and we went from .75 to 1.25 here last night with chance of certain death to a trace to .25 if lucky...

Sensationalism drives ratings...
Exactly. And somewhere in a leather filled conference room Big Milk and Big Bread are lighting cigars.
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Old 01-13-2017, 09:54 AM   #599
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The Weather Channel named this storm not the NWS. Evidently NWS has been trying to get The Weather Channel so stop doing that shit.
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Old 01-13-2017, 09:55 AM   #600
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Exactly. And somewhere in a leather filled conference room Big Milk and Big Bread are lighting cigars.
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