DVOA and Postseason odds tracking

[htismaqe]

Originally Posted by Basileus777

Math doesn't even make any sense, teams locked into having to win 4 playoff games like the Ravens should not mathematically have better odds.


NFL just has too many numbers with no predictive ability behind them, DVOA does not tell you who is more likely to win playoff matchups.

I absolutely love advanced analytics. We have access to more information than ever and it's great.

That being said, the sheer volume of it has kind of made us forget that there are intangibles that numbers can't measure, like heart, will, and momentum.

[O.city]

Originally Posted by htismaqe

I absolutely love advanced analytics. We have access to more information than ever and it's great.

That being said, the sheer volume of it has kind of made us forget that there are intangibles that numbers can't measure, like heart, will, and momentum.

Momentum isn’t a real thing it’s fairy dust

Don’t argue this I’ll fight you

[JimNasium]

Originally Posted by O.city

Momentum isn’t a real thing it’s fairy dust

Don’t argue this I’ll fight you

Unsure if sarcasm, but everyone has seen momentum shifts in any sport.

[Bearcat]

Originally Posted by O.city

Momentum isn’t a real thing it’s fairy dust

Don’t argue this I’ll fight you

Yeah, I think it's crazy overstated, like saying the Bills' running up scores on last place teams in December give them all the momentums for playing real teams in January. And it's easy to find teams that play like shit in December and then win the Super Bowl.

I think more commonly it's confidence and things that happen within a game to create momentum one way or another.... one good thing that gets the rest of the team focused and in the groove, or one bad thing that snowballs into a choke job.

I've never really felt like momentum game-to-game is really a thing, but I'm also not a professional athlete... at that point I think you've simply made the adjustments or whatever to be playing better.

[htismaqe]

Originally Posted by Bearcat

Yeah, I think it's crazy overstated, like saying the Bills' running up scores on last place teams in December give them all the momentums for playing real teams in January. And it's easy to find teams that play like shit in December and then win the Super Bowl.

I think more commonly it's confidence and things that happen within a game to create momentum one way or another.... one good thing that gets the rest of the team focused and in the groove, or one bad thing that snowballs into a choke job.

I've never really felt like momentum game-to-game is really a thing, but I'm also not a professional athlete... at that point I think you've simply made the adjustments or whatever to be playing better.

Yeah, I'm not talking about momentum as a game to game thing, it's not like that. But it absolutely happens within a single a game.